The Houston Texans will face off against the New England Patriots at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th. This matchup is being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.

The Patriots are +254 on the money line as they host the Texans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Texans are favored by -7 on the road, with the over/under line set at 37.5 points. The Texans are the heavy favorite on the money line at -314. This week six AFC matchup is being televised on CBS.

• Date: Sunday, October 13th
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
• TV: CBS

Texans vs Patriots

With two straight wins, the Texans are now 4-1 and sit atop the AFC South. After a week 3 loss to the Vikings, Houston bounced back with home wins over the Jaguars (28-20) and Bills (23-20). They were favored in both matchups, but only covered the spread against Buffalo, winning by 3 points as 1.5-point favorites.

Heading into week 6, the Texans have a 79.3% chance of winning the division and an 89.1% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 11th in our NFL power rankings. So far, Houston is 1-4 against the spread and has been favored in all of their games. Their O/U record is 1-4, with the under hitting in four straight games.

After starting the season with a win over the Bengals, the Patriots have now lost four straight, including a 15-10 home loss to the Dolphins in week 5. New England was a 2-point underdog in that game and failed to cover, bringing their ATS record to 1-3-1. They’ve been the underdog in all of their games so far and have a -8 scoring margin.

Heading into week 6, the Patriots rank 31st in our power rankings and have just a 2.1% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-2 in division games and 1-2 in conference play, putting them 14th in the AFC. They are 0-2 at home and 1-2 on the road.

Texans Injury Report

• Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
• Nico Collins – Hamstring (Doubtful)
• Jeff Okudah – Hip (Out)
• Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
• Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
• Dameon Pierce – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Tytus Howard – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Joe Mixon – Ankle (Questionable)
• Derek Barnett – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Denico Autry – Suspension (Out)
• Jimmie Ward – Groin (Questionable)
• Jerry Hughes – Hip (Out)
• Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
• Jake Hansen – Back (Questionable)
• Kurt Hinish – Calf (Questionable)
• Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
• Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
• LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
• British Brooks – Knee (Questionable)

Patriots Injury Report

• Caedan Wallace – Ankle (Out)
• Jake Andrews – Undisclosed (Out)
• Alex Austin – Ankle (Out)
• JaQuae Jackson – Knee (Out)
• Ja’Whaun Bentley – Pectoral (Out)
• Chukwuma Okorafor – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
• Jabrill Peppers – Shoulder (Questionable)
• David Andrews – Shoulder (Out)
• Oshane Ximines – Knee (Out)
• Sione Takitaki – Undisclosed (Questionable)
• K.J. Osborn – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Kyle Dugger – Ankle (Questionable)
• Christian Barmore – Blood Clot (Out)
• Cole Strange – Undisclosed (Out)

Texans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, the Texans are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game (272.4) and are 3rd in passing attempts per game (38). C.J. Stroud threw for 331 yards (28/38) and a touchdown in week 5 against the Bills, following his 345-yard performance in week 4. Houston ranks 10th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 42.3% success rate.

On the ground, Houston ranks 23rd in rushing yards per game (104.2) and 17th in rushing attempts. Cam Akers led the team with 42 yards on 9 carries in week 5. The Texans are 18th in the league in points per game, averaging 20.4.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 12.4 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They also rank 29th in passing yards per game, with 119.4, despite being 21st in passing attempts. On the ground, they average 131.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 8th, on 26.6 attempts per game. New England is 21st in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage (32.4%) but ranks 5th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 5, Jacoby Brissett threw for 160 yards on 18/34 passing, after throwing for 168 yards in week 4 and 98 yards in week 3. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team with 89 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Demario Douglas had 6 receptions for 59 yards. The Patriots scored 10 points in week 5, with 7 of those coming in the 1st quarter.

Texans Team Defense

The Texans’ defense played well in their most recent game, holding the Bills to just 20 points in a 23-20 win. Buffalo managed only 126 yards passing, completing just 30% of their passes. Houston’s defense was tough on third downs, allowing only a 21.4% conversion rate. They also had a good day in the secondary, allowing just 9 completions.

However, they did struggle to stop the run, giving up 150 yards on 28 attempts, with Buffalo averaging 5.4 yards per attempt. The Texans only had one sack in the game, but they did win the quarterback hit battle by a margin of +3.

Patriots Team Defense

In their 15-10 loss to the Dolphins, the Patriots’ defense gave up 372 yards. Despite this, they held Miami to just 18 completions for 179 yards through the air. The Patriots’ run defense struggled, allowing 193 yards on 41 attempts, with Miami controlling the clock with their running game.

New England’s defense played well on third downs, allowing just an 18.2% conversion rate. They also came up with three sacks and one interception. Although they didn’t give up any passing touchdowns, the Patriots’ offense couldn’t do enough to secure the win.

Texans vs Patriots Trends

• Although Houston has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 17 points per game in these games.
• When looking at their past five home matchups, New England has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, New England has an ATS mark of 4-4-2 while going 3-7 straight up.
• Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Texans have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-2.

Texans vs Patriots Prediction

Our prediction for this week six matchup between the Patriots and Texans is a 22-10 win for New England. With the point spread at -7 in favor of the Patriots, we are actually going to take the Texans to cover as our best bet vs. the spread. However, with the Patriots being 7-point favorites, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover.

For the over/under line, we like the under with a predicted combined score of 32 points, and the O/U line is at 37.5 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.