With the point spread at -1 in favor of the Dolphins, this week two pre-season matchup between the Commanders and Dolphins is a good one to keep an eye on. The game is set for Saturday, August 17th at 7:00 ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. As of now, the Dolphins are the slight favorite at -120, and the Commanders’ point spread is +1.

• Date: Saturday, August 17th
• Time: 7:00 ET
• Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
• TV: None

Commanders vs Dolphins

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Commanders were leading 17-10, but a late touchdown from the Jets and a field goal from Austin Seibert with 24 seconds left gave the Jets the lead and ultimately the win, 20-17.

Our model had the Commanders as 3-point favorites, and with the point spread at -3 in their favor, they didn’t cover the spread. The Commanders and Jets were tied at 10 at halftime.

After falling behind 10-3 in the 1st quarter, the Dolphins battled back and took a 17-10 lead at halftime in their pre-season week one matchup against the Falcons. Miami’s big 2nd quarter was capped off by a 6-yard touchdown from Skylar Thompson to Jeff Wilson Jr.

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Dolphins are leading 20-13, and they are in good shape to pick up a win, as they are currently +3 point favorites and are leading by seven points.

Commanders Injury Report

• Efe Obada – Undisclosed (Out)

Dolphins Injury Report

• Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
• Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
• Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
• Isaiah Wynn – Undisclosed (Out)
• Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
• Odell Beckham Jr. – Undisclosed (Out)
• Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)
• Kion Smith – Knee (Out)

Commanders Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense really struggled to get anything going in their most recent game vs. the Jets, finishing with just 17 first downs and 212 yards passing on 32 attempts. Unfortunately, they came up short, losing 20-17. The running game finished with 119 yards on 34 attempts, but they really struggled to finish drives, failing to find the endzone through the air.

Quarterback Jeff Driskel was Washington’s leading passer, finishing with 87 yards on 7/15 passing. He finished with a passer rating of 65 and was unable to lead the offense to any touchdowns. Driskel also had 23 yards rushing.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Despite finishing with 144 yards on the ground, the Dolphins’ offense struggled to move the ball through the air in their most recent game vs. the Falcons. Miami had just 121 passing yards on 33 attempts, finishing with a tough 3.7 yards per attempt. For the game, they had 13 first downs and 226 yards of total offense.

Skylar Thompson led the Dolphins with 95 yards passing and one touchdown, finishing 8/19 (42%) in the passing game. He was also responsible for their only interception, as Miami finished with a team completion percentage of just 36.4%.

Commanders Team Defense

In the passing game, Washington allowed 174 yards through the air in their most recent game against the Jets. They finished with 13 first downs allowed and held the Jets to 20 points in a 20-17 loss. On third downs, the Jets were 8/16, and they finished with 118 yards rushing on 29 attempts.

The Commanders’ defense did a good job limiting big plays, as the Jets had just 15 completions on 23 passing attempts. Washington’s defense came away with one sack, and the Jets finished with 292 yards of offense against them.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Dolphins’ defense was really tough to move the ball against on the ground, as they allowed just 81 rushing yards on 30 attempts. Overall, they held Atlanta to 145 passing yards and just 226 yards of offense in a 20-13 win.

Miami’s defense was excellent on third down, allowing just a 11.8% conversion rate, and they didn’t give up any passing touchdowns. Additionally, they finished with one sack and held Atlanta to just 10 first downs in the game.

Commanders vs Dolphins Trends

• Through their last ten road games, Washington has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 22 points per game.
• Across the Dolphins last ten home games, the team averaged 24 points per game while allowing 29. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 4-6 straight-up.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Commanders have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 7-3.

Commanders vs Dolphins Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread for this pre-season matchup between the Commanders and Dolphins is to take the Dolphins to cover as home favorites. Currently, the line is sitting at -1 in favor of the Dolphins, and with our projected final score being 21-16 in favor of Miami, they are our pick to cover.

For the over/under, with the line at 37.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, as our projections have this game finishing with 37 combined points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.