Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/15/2024

The Colorado Avalanche (33-17-4) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (29-20-5) on Thursday, February 15th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Avalanche vs Lightning

colorado avalanche nhl

The Colorado Avalanche Are Coming Off A Win

As the third-place team in the Western Conference, the Colorado Avalanche have an overall record of 33-17-4. In the Central Division, they are in second place, and they have gone 7-7 against divisional opponents. On the road this season, Colorado has gone 13-12-4, and they have been the underdog in eight games, going 3-5 in those matchups.

Over their last ten games, the Avalanche have gone 5-5, and they have lost three straight games when they have been the underdog. In their last five games, they have gone just 1-4, and over their last three games, they have gone 1-2.

On the road this season, the Avalanche have a puck line record of 10-19, and their average scoring margin is -.3 goals per game. So far, Colorado has gone 26-28 against the puck line overall, and their average scoring differential is +.6 goals per game.

When coming in as the underdog, the Avalanche have a puck line mark of 3-5, and they have dropped three straight games vs. the puck line as the underdog. In their last ten games, Colorado’s puck line record is 5-5, and they are 1-2 vs. the puck line in their last three road games.

The Avalanche recently played against the Capitals and secured a win with a score of 6-3. In every single period, the Avalanche’s offense scored a goal against the Capitals. Of Colorado’s six goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 37 shots on goal and two giveaways.

Colorado also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. The over/under line going into the game was 6 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 9 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Lightning have been dominant, winning 17 of their 25 games and are currently riding a seven-game winning streak at home. Against the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay has gone 14-14 this season and are in 6th place in the conference. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3 and come into this game having won two straight.

Overall this season, Tampa Bay has gone 29-20-5 and are in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division. As the favorite, the Lightning have gone 20-9-1 this season and have won four straight games when favored. In their last three games, Tampa Bay has gone 2-1 and over their last five, they have gone 3-2.

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 16-9 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +1.1 goals per game. Overall, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 28-26, and they have 20 wins by multiple goals.

Over their last 10 home games, the Lightning’s puck line record is 6-4, and they have covered the puck line in four straight games as the favorite. So far, Tampa Bay has been favored in 30 of their 54 games, and their puck line record as the favorite is 14-16.

Facing the Bruins in their last game, the Lightning won by a score of 3-2. Looking at the Lightning offense vs. the Bruins, they managed to score one goal in the opening period and one time in the second period. Of Tampa Bay’s three goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 25 shots on goal and had 11 giveaways.

Despite being the underdog, Tampa Bay managed to secure a win against the puck line in the game. The over/under line for the game was 6, and it concluded with a combined total of 5 goals.

Colorado Offense Breakdown

For their offensive performance, the Avalanche come in averaging 3.7 goals per game this season, which is 1st in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 3rd in the league. So far this year, the Avalanche are 21-10 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 10-6 in games with fewer shots on goal.

This season, the over/under record for the Avalanche’s is 32-20-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 32 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

tampa bay lightning

When looking at their offense, the Lightning have an average of 3.4 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 16th in the league. The Lightning went 18-11 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 11-8.

The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 24-26-4. Over the course of the season, they have had 28 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6.7 per game.

Colorado Team Defense

Defensively, the Avalanche are currently 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.2 shots per game against Colorado. They also are 23rd in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning come into the season ranked 16th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Tampa Bay. For the season, they are ranked 11th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Avalanche vs Lightning Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Avalanche offense has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing an average of 4. Colorado posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Across their last five home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 5 goals per game.
  • The last five games that Tampa Bay was the underdog, they have an puck line mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Avalanche have a straight up record of 7-3 and an puck line mark of 6-4.

Avalanche vs Lightning Prediction

When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Lightning to come out with a win against the Avalanche while playing at home. Considering the moneyline odds at -113, I’m placing my bet on the Lightning to win outright.

When it comes to a puck line pick, our choice is the Lightning to secure the win and cover. Expect the Lightning to dominate this one with a multi-goal win over the Avalanche.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to remain below that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.