flames vs avalanche nhl prediction

NHL Calgary Flames vs Colorado Prediction 12/11/2023

The Calgary Flames (11-13-3) travel to face off against the Colorado Avalanche (16-9-2) on Monday, December 11th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ALT. Both the Flames and Avalanche will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 ET.

Calgary Flames vs Colorado Avalanche

The Calgary Flames Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Flames come in with an overall record of 11-13-3. On the road, Calgary has a 5-7-2 record, whereas they are 6-6-1 at home. They are currently positioned 5th in the Western Pacific division and 11th in the Western conference. Calgary’s average scoring margin for the season is -0.6, resulting in an overall puck line record of 11-16. When playing at home their scoring margin is -0.2, whereas in away games, they are at -0.9.

Coming off a 4-2 loss at home to the Devils, the Flames are hoping to bounce back today. In the 3rd period, the Flames found the net one time against the Devils after their one goal in the first period. The Calgary offense recorded 25 shots on goal and successfully netted one time while short-handed during the game.

As the underdog, Calgary suffered both a straight-up and loss vs. the puck line. With a combined total of 6 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Colorado Avalanche Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This season, the Avalanche have put together an overall record of 16-9-2. When playing on the road, Colorado has gone 7-5-2, while their home record stands at 9-4-0. At the moment, they hold the 2nd spot in the Western Central division and are ranked 5th in the Western conference. Colorado’s average scoring difference this season sits at +.4, which has contributed to their overall puck line record of 13-14. When playing at home, they have a scoring margin of +1.2, and on the road, it is -0.2.

The Avalanche aim to bounce back following their 5-2 loss at home to the Flyers. Scoring-wise, the Avalanche put up one goal during the first period and one time in the second period. All two goals came at even strength. They finished with 38 shots on goal and had 17 turnovers.

In this game, Colorado was favored by -1.5, but they suffered a loss against the puck line. The combined total of 7 goals exceeded the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals for the game.

Calgary Offense Breakdown

The Flames come into the game scoring an average of 2.9 goals per game, putting them 22nd in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 11th in the league. This season, the Flames are 6-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 4-5 record.

This season, the Flames have an over/under record of 16-10-1. Throughout the season, they have played 15 games that went over the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.3 per game.

Colorado Offense Breakdown

For their offensive performance, the Avalanche come in averaging 3.4 goals per game this season, which is 5th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 8th in the league. In terms of the Avalanche’s offense during power plays, they are 13th in power play goals and 5th in shorthanded goals.

The Avalanche come in with an over/under record of 14-11-2. Over the season, there have been 14 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.5 goals per game.

Calgary Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Flames’ defense is 13th in takeaways at 6.8 takeaways per contest. Overall, they are giving up 3.1 goals per game which is 25th in the NHL.

Colorado Team Defense

Defensively, the Avalanche come into the season ranked 19th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 29.3 shots per game against Colorado. For the season, they are ranked 21st in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Flames vs Avalanche Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Flames have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • Across the Avalanche last three home games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 4. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Avalanche have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 3-2.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Flames have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 2-8.

Flames vs Avalanche Prediction

If you’re looking for a straight moneyline bet, then the Avalanche are the way to go. However, with a payout of -179, you might consider using this bet as a leg of a parlay.

My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Flames to cover. Even if the Avalanche win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Flames should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.