Canadiens vs Calgary Flames NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Canadiens vs Calgary Flames Prediction 3/16/2024

The Montreal Canadiens (25-31-11) travel to face off against the Calgary Flames (32-29-5) on Saturday, March 16th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary and televised on ESPN+. The Flames are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Canadiens are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bruins. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Canadiens vs Flames

montreal canadiens nhl

The Montreal Canadiens Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Montreal comes into this game with an overall record of 25-31-11 and are in 7th place in the Atlantic Division. In the Eastern Conference, the Canadiens are in 14th place with 61 points. On the road, Montreal has gone 12-13-7 this season.

As the underdog, the Canadiens have gone 20-30-11 this season. Over their last ten games, Montreal has gone just 3-7, and they have lost three straight games when they are the underdog.

Montreal enters this game with a puck line record of 43-23 this season. So far, the Canadiens have gone 41-19 vs. the puck line as the underdog and 2-4 as the favorite. In their last ten games, the Canadiens have gone 8-2 vs. the puck line.

So far, Montreal has dropped 19 games by multiple goals compared to 22 by just one goal. The Canadiens have a scoring differential of -0.7 goals per game. On the road, Montreal has gone 21-11 vs. the puck line and has a scoring margin of -0.8 goals per game.

The Canadiens aim to bounce back following their 2-1 loss at home to the Bruins. Offensively, the Canadiens got off to a good start by scoring one time in the first period, but that was the extent of their scoring for the game. Against Boston, Montreal’s offense scored their only goal at even strength. They recorded 19 shots on goal overall.

Although they didn’t win, Montreal did cover the puck line as the underdogs in the game. The game finished below the over/under line of 6 with a combined total of 3 goals.

The Calgary Flames Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Flames have gone 17-15-1, and they are 14-13-2 when favored. In the Western Conference, Calgary is in 11th place and 5th in the Pacific Division. Overall, the Flames are 32-29-5, and they have gone 19-18 against other Western Conference teams.

Over their last ten games, the Flames have gone 6-4, and they have gone 2-3 over their last five games. In their last three games, Calgary has gone 1-2. So far this season, the Flames have been the underdog in 37 of their games and have gone 18-16-3 in those games.

When favored, the Flames have gone just 8-21 against the puck line and their average scoring margin when favored is at -0.2 goals per game. So far this year, Calgary has gone 33-33 against the puck line, including going 15-18 at home.

Calgary has gone 21-13 vs. the puck line in games decided by more than one goal, and their average scoring differential at home is at -0.2 goals per game. Over their last ten games at home, the Flames have gone just 4-6 against the puck line.

The Flames recently hosted the Golden Knights and emerged victorious with a 4-1 win. During the initial two periods, the Flames had trouble scoring on offense, but they turned things around by notching four goals in the third period. In the game, Calgary managed to score all four goals at even strength. They concluded with 37 shots on goal and committed 10 turnovers.

Despite being the underdog, Calgary managed to secure a win against the puck line in the game. The game ended below the over/under line of 6.5, with a combined total of 5 goals.

Montreal Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Canadiens are averaging 2.7 goals per game which is 27th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 27th in the league. This season, the Canadiens are 6-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 19-22 record.

The Canadiens’ over/under record this season is 33-31-2. Last season, they had 42 games failed to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games averaged 6.6 goals per game.

Flames Offense Breakdown

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In terms of their offensive performance, the Flames are averaging 3.1 goals per game this season, putting them in the 16th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 15th in the league. Calgary’s offense comes into the game ranked 30th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 4th in the NHL.

This season, the Flames have an over/under record of 38-26-2. Throughout the season, they have played 35 games that went over the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.3 per game.

Montreal Team Defense

The Canadiens defense is currently 6th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 32.6 shots per game against Montreal. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 24th with 2 shutouts.

Calgary Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Flames head into the game ranked 18th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30 shots per game against Calgary. So far, they are 25th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

Canadiens vs Flames Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Montreal has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Across their five previous home games, Calgary has an puck line mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Flames have an puck line mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Calgary posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Canadiens have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Canadiens vs Flames Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Canadiens to pick up on a win over the Flames and the road. With the moneyline sitting at +144, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Canadiens straight-up.

Our projections have the Canadiens pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Canadiens, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.