The Colorado Avalanche (27-12-3) travel to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (21-11-8) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on ESPN+. The Avalanche are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Maple Leafs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Islanders. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.
Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs
The Colorado Avalanche Are Coming Off A Win
So far this season, the Avalanche have gone 27-12-3 overall, putting them in 2nd place in the Central Division and 3rd in the Western Conference. Over their last ten games, Colorado has gone 8-2 and have won two straight games.
On the road this season, the Avs have gone 9-7-3. As the underdog, they have gone 2-2-0 this year. Over their last five games, Colorado has gone 4-1.
So far this season, the Avalanche have an average scoring differential of +.6 goals per game. In their 38 games as the favorite, their average scoring differential is at +.7 goals per game. Overall, Colorado has 19 wins by multiple goals compared to just eight wins by one goal.
On the road, the Avs have a puck line record of 6-13, and their average scoring differential is -.4 goals per game. In their last 10 road games, Colorado’s puck line record is just 1-9.
Facing the Golden Knights in their last game, the Avalanche won by a score of 3-0. In every single period, the Avalanche’s offense scored a goal against the Golden Knights. Out of Colorado’s three goals, two were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 35 shots on goal and had four giveaways.
Coming into the game favored by -1.5, Colorado also managed to pick up a victory against the puck line. The game finished below the over/under line of 6.5 with a combined total of 3 goals.
The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
At home this season, the Maple Leafs have a record of 10-7-2, and they have been favored in 33 of their 39 games. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is in 5th place and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Their overall record is 21-11-8, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five games. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs are 5-5.
Against other Eastern Conference teams, Toronto has a record of 10-14 this season. In games where they have been favored, the Maple Leafs have gone 18-9-7. At home, they have been favored in 17 of their 19 games. Over their last three games, the Maple Leafs are 2-1.
At home, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 7-12 this season and have gone 5-5 vs. the puck line in their last ten games at home. They have an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game when favored and have gone 8-25 vs. the puck line as the favorite this season.
So far this season, Toronto has 11 wins by multiple goals and has gone 13-26 vs. the puck line overall. In their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-5 vs. the puck line.
Following a 4-3 loss on the road to the Islanders, the Maple Leafs are eager to bounce back. Scoring-wise, the Maple Leafs put up one goal during the first period and two times in the second period. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 35 shots on goal and had 10 turnovers.
Toronto took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 7 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6.5 goals set for the game.
Colorado Offense Breakdown
When looking at their offense, the Avalanche have an average of 3.6 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 4th in the league. The Avalanche went 17-7 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 8-5.
So far, the Avalanche have an over/under record of 23-17-2. Coming into the game, they have played 23 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.8 goals per game.
Toronto Offense Breakdown
In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 7th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 9th in the league. Looking at how the Maple Leafs’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 10th in power play goals and 14th in shorthanded goals.
The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 21-17-1. Over the season, there have been 22 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.9 goals per game.
Colorado Team Defense
Colorado defense takes on the Maple Leafs ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 28.5 shots per game against Colorado. They also are 14th in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.
Toronto Team Defense
Toronto defense takes on the Avalanche ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 31.2 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 6th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.
Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Trends
- In their last five games away from home, the Avalanche have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games at home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 9-1.
- Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Avalanche have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.
For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Maple Leafs to pick up on a win over the Avalanche at home. With the moneyline sitting at -113, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.
If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Avalanche to cover. Even in the event of a Maple Leafs victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Avalanche should cover the puck line.
If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.