Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 5/17/2024

The Dallas Stars (52-21-9) travel to face off against the Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7) on Friday, May 17th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 10:00 ET.

Stars vs Avalanche

dallas stars nhl

The Dallas Stars Are Coming Off A Win

As the first-place team in the Western Conference, the Dallas Stars have been favored in 71 of their 82 games, and they have a record of 47-17-7 in those games. On the road, the Stars have won two straight games and are 26-10-5 this season.

Over their last ten games, Dallas has gone 7-3, and they have won two straight games as the underdog. Overall, the Stars have a record of 52-21-9 and have 113 points.

When it comes to the puck line, the Stars have gone 36-46 this year. So far, Dallas has 29 wins by multiple goals and enters this game with a road puck line mark of 22-19. Over their last ten road games, the Stars have gone 7-3 vs. the puck line.

As the underdog, Dallas has a puck line record of 9-2, and their average scoring margin on the road is +.8 goals per game. In their last ten games, the Stars have gone 4-6 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring differential as the underdog is -.1 goals per contest.

The Stars most recently faced the Blues at home and achieved a 2-1 win. In the first and second periods, the Stars couldn’t find the net on offense, but they managed to score one goal in the third period. All two goals came at even strength. They finished with 37 shots on goal and had 10 turnovers.

Dallas’ straight-up victory didn’t translate to covering the puck line in the game, despite being favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 3 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.

The Colorado Avalanche Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Avalanche have been dominant, going 31-9-1. In games where they have been favored, Colorado has gone 45-18-6. Over their last ten games, the Avalanche have gone 6-4 and come into today’s game with a record of 50-25-7.

Against Western Conference opponents, Colorado has gone 34-16 and are currently in 4th place in the conference. In the Central Division, the Avalanche are in 3rd place, and they have gone 16-10 against divisional foes.

At home this season, the Avalanche have gone 24-17 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin in those games is +1.5 goals per contest. So far, 36 of their wins have been by multiple goals.

Overall, Colorado’s puck line record is 40-42, and they have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line in their last ten games. In their last three home games, the Avs have gone 1-2 vs. the puck line.

The Avalanche recently hosted the Oilers and emerged victorious with a 5-1 win. In terms of offense, the Avalanche netted four goals during the opening period and one time in the second period. Of Colorado’s five goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 27 shots on goal and had seven giveaways.

Colorado secured a win against the puck line, entering the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. The game finished below the over/under line of 6.5 with a combined total of 6 goals.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Stars are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 3rd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 11th in the league. This season, the Stars have a 35-13 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 17-6 record.

This season, the over/under record for the Stars’ is 42-39-1. Over the course of the season, they have had 42 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.5 goals per game.

Avalanche Offense Breakdown

colorado avalanche

On the offensive side, the Avalanche are scoring an 3.7 goals per game this season, ranking 1st in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 4th in the league. This season, the Avalanche have a 34-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 13-10 record.

This season, the Avalanche have an over/under record of 47-32-3. Throughout the season, they have played 48 games that went over the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.8 per game.

Dallas Team Defense

Defensively, the Stars come into the season ranked 27th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 28.6 shots per game against Dallas. For the season, they are ranked 21st in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Colorado Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Avalanche head into the game ranked 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.7 shots per game against Colorado. So far, they are 19th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Stars vs Avalanche Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Stars have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Avalanche have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Avalanche have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their puck line record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the favorite, Dallas has an puck line mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.

Stars vs Avalanche Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Avalanche to defeat the Stars while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at -120, I’m placing a wager on the Avalanche to win outright.

My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Stars to cover. Even if the Avalanche win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Stars should cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.