Graphic Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 2/7/2024

The Dallas Stars (31-13-6) travel to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (25-15-8) on Wednesday, February 7th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on ESPN+. The Stars are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Maple Leafs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Islanders. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Stars vs Maple Leafs

dallas stars nhl

The Dallas Stars Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into tonight’s game, the Stars are 31-13-6, which has them in 1st place in the Central Division and 2nd in the Western Conference. Over their last ten games, Dallas has gone 7-3, and they have won four straight games.

On the road this season, the Stars are 15-5-4, and they have won two straight games away from home. When playing against other teams in the Western Conference, Dallas has gone 18-12 this season.

On the season, the Stars have an average scoring margin of +.7 goals per game, and they have gone 14-32 against the puck line when favored. So far, Dallas has 17 wins by just one goal compared to 14 wins by multiple goals.

Overall, the Stars have gone 18-32 against the puck line, including going 4-6 vs. the puck line in their last ten games. In their last ten road games, Dallas has gone just 4-6 against the puck line.

The Stars are coming off a 2-1 road win over the Sabres. In terms of offense, the Stars netted one goal during the opening period and one time in the second period. Out of Dallas’ two goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 30 shots on goal and had one giveaways.

Dallas’ straight-up victory didn’t translate to covering the puck line in the game, despite being favored by -1.5. The game finished below the over/under line of 6.5 with a combined total of 3 goals.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Through 48 games, the Maple Leafs have a record of 25-15-8, which has them 4th in the Atlantic Division and 6th in the Eastern Conference. In their last 10 games, Toronto has gone 4-6, and over their last five games, they are 3-2.

At home this season, the Maple Leafs are 11-10-2, and as the favorite, they have a record of 21-11-7. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 10-16 this season.

On the year, the Maple Leafs have gone just 15-33 against the puck line, including a mark of 7-16 at home. Toronto comes into the game with an average scoring margin of +.3 goals per game.

So far this year, the Maple Leafs have gone 9-30 against the puck line when favored, and they have gone just 2-8 against the puck line in their last 10 games overall. In their last 10 games at home, the Maple Leafs are just 3-7 against the puck line.

The Maple Leafs aim to bounce back following their 3-2 loss at home to the Islanders. The first period saw the Maple Leafs being held without a goal, but they turned things around offensively by scoring one time in the second period and one goal in the third. Out of Toronto’s two goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 37 shots on goal and had 10 giveaways.

Toronto took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. The game ended below the over/under line of 6.5, with a combined total of 5 goals.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Stars are averaging 3.7 goals per game which is 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 14th in the league. Looking at how the Stars’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 18th in power play goals and 1st in shorthanded goals.

So far, the Stars have an over/under record of 31-18-1. Coming into the game, they have played 31 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.7 goals per game.

Maple Leafs Offense Breakdown

toronto maple leafs

Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.4 goals per contest placing 8th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 6th position in the league. Looking at how the Maple Leafs’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 11th in power play goals and 13th in shorthanded goals.

For the season, the over/under record of the Maple Leafs’ stands at 24-22-2. They have had 25 games during the season that exceeded the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.7 goals per game.

Dallas Team Defense

Defensively, the Stars come into the season ranked 13th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.3 shots per game against Dallas. For the season, they are ranked 25th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Toronto Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Maple Leafs head into the game ranked 21st in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.3 shots per game against Toronto. So far, they are 4th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Stars vs Maple Leafs Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Stars have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 0-3 while averaging 1 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 2-3 and an puck line mark of 3-2.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Stars have a good straight up record, but their puck line mark is just 1-4.

Stars vs Maple Leafs Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Maple Leafs to secure a victory over the Stars at home. With the moneyline currently set at -137, I’m locking in my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Stars to cover. Even in the event of a Maple Leafs victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Stars should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.