Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction 1/21/2024

NHL: Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction 1/21/2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (24-17-5) travel to face off against the Detroit Red Wings (23-17-5) on Sunday, January 21st. This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit and televised on ESPN+. The Lightning are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Wings are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hurricanes. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Lightning vs Red Wings

tampa bay lightning nhl

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

As the Lightning head into tonight’s matchup, they sit 6th in the Eastern Conference with 53 points and a record of 24-17-5. Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 7-3 and they have won five straight games. On the road this season, the Lightning have gone 9-12-2.

When favored, Tampa Bay has gone 16-8-1 this season and they have won six straight games when they are the favorites. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Lightning have gone 10-11 this season, and in the Atlantic Division, they are 5-7.

On the season, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 23-23, and they have gone 10-15 vs. the puck line as the favorite. So far, the Lightning have 16 wins by multiple goals and have gone 5-5 vs. the puck line in their last ten games.

As the favorite, Tampa Bay has a scoring margin of +.6 goals per game, and their average scoring margin on the road is -.8 goals per game. The Lightning have gone 3-0 vs. the puck line in their last three games and have a road puck line record of 9-14.

The Lightning recently played against the Sabres and secured a win with a score of 3-1. In the 3rd period, the Lightning found the net one time against the Sabres after their two goals in the first period. Throughout the game, the Tampa Bay offense managed to score one time while short-handed and took 16 shots on goal.

Coming into the game favored by -1.5, Tampa Bay also managed to pick up a victory against the puck line. The game ended below the over/under line of 6.5, with a combined total of 4 goals.

The Detroit Red Wings Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Red Wings have gone 11-7-4. Over their last ten games, they have gone 7-3 and are currently on a four-game winning streak as the favorite. Against Eastern Conference opponents, Detroit is 14-14 this season and is currently in 8th place in the conference and 5th in the Atlantic Division. Overall, their record is 23-17-5.

So far this season, the Red Wings have been the underdog in 31 of their 45 games, and they have a record of 14-15-2 in those games. In their last five games, they have gone 3-2, and over their last three games, they have gone 2-1. For the year, Detroit has 51 points.

As the underdog, the Red Wings have gone 22-9 against the puck line this season, and they have a puck line record of 26-19 overall. So far, Detroit has 14 wins by multiple goals and 9 wins by just one goal.

At home, the Red Wings have gone 11-11 against the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +.4 goals per game. Their puck line record over their last ten home games is 4-6, and their average scoring differential when they are the underdog is even.

Coming off a 4-2 loss on the road to the Hurricanes, the Red Wings are hoping to bounce back today. In terms of offense, the Red Wings netted one goal during the opening period and one time in the second period. Of Detroit’s two goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 12 shots on goal and nine giveaways.

Entering the game as the underdog, Detroit not only suffered a straight-up loss but also failed to cover the puck line. With a combined total of 6 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Lightning are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 6th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 15th in the league. This season, the Lightning are 15-11 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 9-5 record.

The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 20-22-4. Over the course of the season, they have had 24 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6.7 per game.

Red Wings Offense Breakdown

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Offensively, the Red Wings come into the game at 3.5 goals per contest placing 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 24th position in the league. Detroit’s offense comes into the game ranked 6th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 13th in the NHL.

For the season, the over/under record of the Red Wings’ stands at 26-19-0. They have had 26 games during the season that exceeded the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

The Lightning defense is currently 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Tampa Bay. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 6th with 3 shutouts.

Detroit Team Defense

Detroit defense takes on the Lightning ranked 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 32.3 shots per game against Detroit. They also are 21st in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.

Lightning vs Red Wings Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Lightning offense has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. Tampa Bay posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 3-7 ATS.
  • In their last three home games, Detroit has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Red Wings have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Tampa Bay has an puck line mark of 5-5 while going 9-1 straight up.

Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Red Wings to pick up on a win over the Lightning at home. With the moneyline sitting at -106, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Red Wings straight-up.

Our projections have the Red Wings pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Red Wings, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.