Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 2/27/2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (32-23-5) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Flyers (30-22-7) on Tuesday, February 27th. This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia and televised on NBCS. The Lightning are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Flyers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Penguins. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Lightning vs Flyers

tampa bay lightning nhl

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

On the season, the Lightning have gone 32-23-5 and sit in 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay is in 5th place. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 5-5, and they have won two straight games.

On the road, Tampa Bay has gone 14-15-2 this season and have won four straight games away from home. When favored, the Lightning have gone 22-11-1 this season, and they have been favored in 34 of their 60 games.

On the season, Tampa Bay has gone 31-29 against the puck line, including going 14-17 against the puck line on the road. The Lightning have 23 wins by multiple goals compared to just nine wins by one goal.

Over their last 10 road games, Tampa Bay has gone 6-4 against the puck line and 4-1 against the puck line in their last five games away from home. So far, the Lightning have been favored in 34 games and have gone 16-18 against the puck line as the favorite.

The Lightning are coming off a 4-1 road win over the Devils. The first period saw the Lightning being held without a goal, but they turned things around offensively by scoring two times in the second period and two goals in the third. All four goals came at even strength. They finished with 27 shots on goal and had 4 turnovers.

Going into the game, Tampa Bay was the underdog, giving them a win vs. the puck line. Combining for 5 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Philadelphia Flyers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With 67 points, the Flyers are currently in 8th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They have a record of 30-22-7, including a mark of 14-13-2 at home and 8-10 against division opponents. Over their last ten games, Philadelphia is 5-5, and they have lost two straight games.

As the underdog, the Flyers have a record of 19-17-6 this season. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, Philadelphia has gone 12-18.

Philadelphia enters this game with a puck line record of 36-23 and has gone 7-3 against the puck line in their last ten games. They have an average scoring differential of .0 goals per game and have won 18 games by multiple goals.

As the underdog, the Flyers have a puck line record of 31-11, including going 2-1 against the puck line in their last three home games. Overall, their puck line record at home is 12-17, and they have lost 15 games by more than one goal.

Coming off a 7-6 loss on the road to the Penguins, the Flyers are hoping to bounce back today. Offensively, the Flyers’ offense scored in each period against the Penguins. Philadelphia finished with one power-play goals, while they also managed to score one time when shorthanded. Their game concluded with 21 shots on goal.

Although they didn’t win, Philadelphia did cover the puck line as the underdogs in the game. The over/under line going into the game was 5.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 13 goals.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Lightning are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 5th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 18th in the league. In terms of the Lightning’s offense during power plays, they are 1st in power play goals and 29th in shorthanded goals.

The Lightning’s over/under record this season is 27-29-4. For the season, they have had 29 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 6. Overall, their games are averaging6.8 goals per game.

Flyers Offense Breakdown

philadelphia flyers

On the offensive side, the Flyers are scoring an 2.9 goals per game this season, ranking 19th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 1st in the league. The Flyers went 21-13 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 7-9.

The Flyers come in with an over/under record of 24-32-3. Over the course of the season, they have had 29 games failing to surpass the 6 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6 per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning come into the season ranked 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.5 shots per game against Tampa Bay. For the season, they are ranked 15th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Philadelphia Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Flyers head into the game ranked 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 27.8 shots per game against Philadelphia. So far, they are 11th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Lightning vs Flyers Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Philadelphia has an puck line mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Philadelphia has an puck line mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lightning have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their puck line record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Lightning vs Flyers Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Flyers to pick up on a win over the Lightning at home. With the moneyline sitting at +101, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Flyers straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Flyers winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Flyers straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.