Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 4/6/2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (43-26-7) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Penguins (35-30-11) on Saturday, April 6th. This game will be played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 1:00 ET.

Lightning vs Penguins

tampa bay lightning nhl

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

On the year, Tampa Bay is 43-26-7 and is currently in 6th place in the Eastern Conference. In their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 8-2 and have won two straight games.

When playing on the road this season, Tampa Bay has gone 20-16-3, and they have won three straight road games. Against the Eastern Conference, the Lightning have gone 24-20 on the year.

On the season, the Lightning have a puck line record of 41-35 and have gone 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten games. In their 45 games as the favorite, Tampa Bay has an average scoring margin of +.8 goals per game.

So far, the Lightning have won 32 games by multiple goals and have gone 20-19 against the puck line on the road. Tampa Bay’s average scoring margin on the road is -.2 goals per game.

In their last game, the Lightning went up against the Canadiens and emerged as winners with a score of 7-4. Facing off against the Canadiens’ defense, the Lightning offense scored in all three periods. Out of Tampa Bay’s seven goals, two were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 35 shots on goal and had nine giveaways.

Tampa Bay also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals, with a combined total of 11 goals.

The Pittsburgh Penguins Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Penguins have gone 20-13-4, and they have won three straight games at home. In the Eastern Conference, Pittsburgh is currently in 11th place and 6th in the Metropolitan Division. For the year, the Penguins have a record of 35-30-11.

As the underdog, Pittsburgh has gone 12-15-4 this season, and they have won three straight games when not favored. Over their last ten games, the Penguins have gone 6-4. Against the Eastern Conference, Pittsburgh has gone 21-24 this season.

As the underdog, the Penguins have a puck line record of 18-13 this season. Overall, they have gone 36-40 against the puck line, including a mark of 17-20 at home. In their last ten home games, the Penguins have gone 5-5 against the puck line.

So far this season, Pittsburgh has 25 wins by multiple goals, and their average scoring margin is +.1 goals per game. Against the puck line, the Penguins have won three straight games and have gone 6-4 in their last ten games.

The Penguins most recently took on the Capitals and secured a win with a score of 4-1. Offensively, the Penguins’ offense scored in each period against the Capitals. In the game, Pittsburgh managed to score all four goals at even strength. They concluded with 24 shots on goal and committed 8 turnovers.

Pittsburgh also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. The game finished below the over/under line of 6 with a combined total of 5 goals.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

For their offensive performance, the Lightning come in averaging 3.5 goals per game this season, which is 5th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 22nd in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 1st in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 22nd in the NHL.

This season, the over/under record for the Lightning’s is 36-36-4. Over the course of the season, they have had 38 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Penguins Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh penguins

For their offensive performance, the Penguins come in averaging 3 goals per game this season, which is 21st in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 6th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Penguins offense is 27th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 26th in the NHL.

The Penguins come in with an over/under record of 32-39-5. Over the course of the season, they have had 34 games failing to surpass the 6 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6 per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.2 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 13th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

The Penguins defense is currently 14th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.2 shots per game against Pittsburgh. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 1st with 7 shutouts.

Lightning vs Penguins Trends

  • In their last three road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three home games, Pittsburgh has averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Pittsburgh has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 puck line in their last five games.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Lightning have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 5-5.

Lightning vs Penguins Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Lightning to take down the Penguins on the road. With the moneyline currently at -114, I’m placing my bet on the Lightning straight-up.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Penguins to cover. Even in the event of a Lightning victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Penguins should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.