Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction 4/13/2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-28-8) travel to face off against the Washington Capitals (37-31-11) on Saturday, April 13th. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on ESPN+. Both the Lightning and Capitals will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 5:30 ET.

Lightning vs Capitals

tampa bay lightning nhl

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

On the season, the Lightning are 44-28-8, and they are 6th in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the Atlantic Division. When playing on the road, Tampa Bay is 20-17-3, and they have been the favorite in 48 of their games this season.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 6-4, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games. In their last three games, they have gone 1-2.

On the road, the Lightning have gone 20-20 against the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -.2 goals per game. So far, Tampa Bay has been favored in 48 games and has an overall puck line record of 42-37.

Over their last ten road games, the Lightning have gone 7-3 against the puck line, and they have 33 wins by multiple goals this season. In their last ten games vs. the puck line, Tampa Bay has gone 6-4.

Following a 3-2 loss at home to the Senators, the Lightning are eager to bounce back. The Lightning started strong on offense with two times in the first period, but they couldn’t find the net again for the rest of the game. All two goals came at even strength. They finished with 26 shots on goal and had 5 turnovers.

Tampa Bay took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Washington Capitals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With just three games remaining in the regular season, the Capitals find themselves in 9th place in the Eastern Conference and 5th in the Metropolitan Division. Overall, Washington is 37-31-11 and has 85 points.

At home this season, the Capitals are 20-12-7, and they have been the underdog in 59 of their 79 games. Over their last ten games, Washington has gone just 3-7 and is 1-4 in their last five games.

As the underdog, Washington has a puck line record of 32-27 and an average scoring differential of -.9 goals per game when in that role. So far, the Capitals have 19 wins by one goal and 18 by multiple goals.

Overall, Washington’s puck line mark this year is 37-42, including going 19-20 at home. In their last ten games at home, the Capitals have a puck line record of 5-5.

In their most recent game, the Capitals fell to the Sabres on the road by a score of 4-2. Offensively, the Capitals couldn’t break through in the first period, but they scored one time in the second period and one goal in the third. In the game, Washington managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 24 shots on goal and committed 2 turnovers.

Entering the game as the underdog, Washington not only suffered a straight-up loss but also failed to cover the puck line. A total of 6 goals were scored in the game, resulting in a push on the over/under.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Lightning have an average of 3.5 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 5th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. This season, the Lightning have a 25-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 18-12 record.

The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 38-37-4. Over the season, there have been 40 games that have surpassed the 6 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.8 goals per game.

Capitals Offense Breakdown

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On the offensive side, the Capitals are scoring an 2.6 goals per game this season, ranking 28th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 31st in the league. This season, the Capitals are 10-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 27-23 record.

This season, the Capitals’ have an over/under record of 34-40-5. Throughout the season, they have played 38 games that did not exceed the 6 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 5.9 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

The Lightning defense is currently 23rd in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.2 shots per game against Tampa Bay. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 15th with 4 shutouts.

Washington Team Defense

The Capitals defense is currently 13th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.6 shots per game against Washington. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 9th with 6 shutouts.

Lightning vs Capitals Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 5 goals per game.
  • In their last five games at home, the Capitals have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Capitals have a straight up record of 1-4 and an puck line mark of 1-4.
  • The last ten games that Tampa Bay was favored, they have an puck line mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.

Lightning vs Capitals Prediction

When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Capitals to come out with a win against the Lightning while playing at home. Considering the moneyline odds at +114, I’m placing my bet on the Capitals to win outright.

Our projections have the Capitals pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Capitals, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.