Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 3/30/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (41-22-9) travel to face off against the Buffalo Sabres (35-34-5) on Saturday, March 30th. This game will be played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Sabres

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

As the fifth-place team in the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have a record of 41-22-9 through 72 games. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in third place. On the road, the Leafs have gone 21-9-6 this season. Over their last ten games, the team is 5-5.

When favored, Toronto has gone 35-16-7 this season, and they have been favored in 58 of their 72 games. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Leafs have gone 17-23. Over their last five games, Toronto has gone 3-2.

So far this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 28-44 on the puck line, and they have a road puck line mark of 15-21. Overall, Toronto has 23 wins by multiple goals.

Currently, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 6-4 in their last ten games, and their average scoring margin on the road is +.6 goals per game. In their last three games, Toronto has gone 2-1 vs. the puck line.

In their most recent game, the Maple Leafs hosted the Capitals and secured a 5-1 victory. Offensively, the Maple Leafs’ offense scored in each period against the Capitals. All five goals came at even strength. They finished with 48 shots on goal and had 5 turnovers.

Toronto secured a win against the puck line, entering the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. The over/under line for the game was 6.5, and it concluded with a combined total of 6 goals.

The Buffalo Sabres Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Sabres have gone 18-18-1 and are 6th in the Atlantic Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference. For the year, Buffalo has gone 35-34-5 and has 75 points. In games against the Eastern Conference, the Sabres have gone 20-23.

Over their last ten games, Buffalo is 6-4 and has gone 2-3 in their last five games. As the underdog, the Sabres have gone 20-23-4 this season, and they have been the underdog in 47 of their 74 games.

Buffalo has gone 7-3 vs. the puck line in their last 10 games and 41-33 on the season. So far, the Sabres have 24 wins by multiple goals and have dropped 24 games by more than one goal.

As the underdog, Buffalo has gone 32-15 vs. the puck line and 18-19 at home. The team’s average scoring differential at home this year is +.1 goals per game, and they have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line in their last 10 home games.

Facing the Devils in their last game, the Sabres won by a score of 5-2. In the opening period, the Sabres couldn’t find the net on offense, but they rebounded with two times in the second period and three goals in the third. All five goals came at even strength. They finished with 36 shots on goal and had 3 turnovers.

Entering the game as the underdog, Buffalo came away with a victory against the puck line. With a combined total of 7 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6.5 goals set for the game.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

The Maple Leafs come into the game scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game, putting them 3rd in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 7th in the league. Looking at how the Maple Leafs’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 9th in power play goals and 17th in shorthanded goals.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 39-31-2. Coming into the game, they have played 40 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.8 goals per game.

Sabres Offense Breakdown

buffalo sabres

For their offensive performance, the Sabres come in averaging 3 goals per game this season, which is 18th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 13th in the league. The Buffalo offense is ranked 30th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 18th in the NHL.

This season, the Sabres’ have an over/under record of 30-42-2. Throughout the season, they have played 44 games that did not exceed the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 21st in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 15th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Buffalo Team Defense

Buffalo defense takes on the Maple Leafs ranked 17th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.2 shots per game against Buffalo. They also are 8th in shutouts, with 5 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Sabres Trends

  • Toronto has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
  • Buffalo has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
  • As the betting underdog, the Sabres have an puck line mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Buffalo posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Maple Leafs have an puck line record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Maple Leafs vs Sabres Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Sabres to pick up on a win over the Maple Leafs at home. With the moneyline sitting at +128, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Sabres straight-up.

Our projections have the Sabres pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Sabres, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.