The Toronto Maple Leafs (21-13-8) travel to face off against the Calgary Flames (21-18-5) on Thursday, January 18th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary and televised on ESPN+. The Flames are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Maple Leafs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oilers. Puck drop is set for 9:00 ET.
Maple Leafs vs Flames
The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Heading into tonight’s game, the Maple Leafs are 7th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 21-13-8. In their last ten games, Toronto is just 4-6 and has lost three straight games. On the road this season, the Maple Leafs are 11-4-6.
When favored, Toronto has gone 18-10-7 this season, and they have been favored in 35 of their 42 games. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Maple Leafs are 10-15 this season. In their last three games, Toronto has gone 0-3.
On the season, Toronto has gone just 13-29 against the puck line, including a 4-6 mark in their last ten games. They have gone just 8-27 against the puck line when favored, including dropping each of their last three games against the puck line as the favorite.
So far, the Maple Leafs have won 11 games by multiple goals and have gone 6-15 against the puck line on the road. In their last ten road games, Toronto has gone just 4-6 against the puck line.
After suffering a 4-2 loss on the road to the Oilers, the Maple Leafs are looking to bounce back today. In terms of offense, the Maple Leafs netted one goal during the opening period and one time in the second period. All two goals came at even strength. They finished with 27 shots on goal and had 9 turnovers.
Coming in as the underdog, Toronto not only lost straight-up but also failed to cover the puck line. The over/under line for the game was 7, and it concluded with a combined total of 6 goals.
The Calgary Flames Are Coming Off A Win
With a record of 21-18-5, the Flames are currently 9th in the Western Conference and 5th in the Pacific Division. At home, Calgary is 11-7-1 and has won three straight games at the Scotiabank Saddledome. Over their last ten games, the Flames are 7-3.
Over the course of the season, Calgary has been the underdog in 23 of their 44 games and has a record of 10-10-3 in those games. As the underdog, the Flames have won three straight games.
Calgary has an average scoring differential of .0 goals per game this season. So far, they have had 13 wins by multiple goals and 12 losses by more than one goal. The Flames’ overall puck line record is 23-21, and they have gone 16-7 vs. the puck line as the underdog.
At home, Calgary’s average scoring margin is +.3 goals per game, and their puck line record at home is 10-9. In their last 10 games at home, the Flames have gone 4-6 against the puck line.
In their most recent game, the Flames hosted the Coyotes and secured a 3-2 victory. In the first and second periods, the Flames didn’t score a goal, but they managed to break the drought with two goals in the third period. Calgary’s one power-play goals contributed to their total of 3 goals. Their offensive performance came with 30 shots on goal and seven giveaways.
Despite the straight-up win, Calgary did not cover the puck line, as they were favored by -1.5. The game ended below the over/under line of 6.5, with a combined total of 5 goals.
Toronto Offense Breakdown
On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.5 goals per game which is 6th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 7th in the league. Toronto’s offense comes into the game ranked 13th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 14th in the NHL.
The Maple Leafs come in with an over/under record of 22-19-1. Over the season, there have been 23 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.9 goals per game.
Flames Offense Breakdown
The Flames come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 13th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 8th in the league. This year, the Flames have recorded a 12-10 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 8-8 record.
The Flames’ over/under record this season is 24-19-1. For the season, they have had 23 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging6.3 goals per game.
Toronto Team Defense
Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 8th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.
Calgary Team Defense
The Flames defense is currently 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Calgary. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 27th with 1 shutouts.
Maple Leafs vs Flames Trends
- In their last three games away from home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Calgary has an puck line record of 2-3 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
- The last ten games that Calgary was the underdog, they have an puck line mark of 8-2 while going 4-6 straight up.
- Going back to their last three games as the favorite, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the puck line was just 0-3.
When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Maple Leafs to come out with a win against the Flames while playing on the road. Considering the moneyline odds at -127, I’m placing my bet on the Maple Leafs to win outright.
My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Flames to cover. Even if the Maple Leafs win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Flames should cover the puck line.
If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.