Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction 3/24/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (40-20-9) travel to face off against the Carolina Hurricanes (44-21-7) on Sunday, March 24th. This game will be played at PNC Arena in Raleigh and televised on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Hurricanes are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Capitals. Puck drop is set for 6:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

As the 5th place team in the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 40-20-9 overall and 16-21 against other teams in the East. On the road, Toronto has a record of 21-8-6, and they have won 2 straight games.

Over their last 10 games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 in their last 5 contests. Against teams in the Atlantic Division, Toronto has gone 8-11 this season.

On the season, Toronto has a puck line record of 26-43, including going 14-21 on the road. So far, the Maple Leafs have 22 wins by multiple goals and have gone 2-1 against the puck line in their last three games.

Overall, the team’s average scoring margin is +.6 goals per game, and they have gone 17-39 against the puck line as the favorite. In their last ten road games, the Leafs are 6-4 against the puck line.

In their most recent game, the Maple Leafs faced the Oilers and came out victorious with a score of 6-3. Offensively, the Maple Leafs’ offense scored in each period against the Oilers. Toronto’s one power-play goals contributed to their total of 6 goals. Their offensive performance came with 29 shots on goal and 11 giveaways.

Going into the game, Toronto was the underdog, giving them a win vs. the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 9 goals.

The Carolina Hurricanes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Hurricanes have been strong, going 23-9-4. Over their last ten games, Carolina has gone 8-2, and they have won two straight at home. In the Eastern Conference standings, the Hurricanes are in 4th place and 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. On the year, they are 44-21-7.

When favored, Carolina has gone 41-17-7, and they have been favored in 64 of their 71 games. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Hurricanes have gone 29-12, and they have gone 14-8 in divisional games. Over their last five games, Carolina has gone 4-1.

At home this season, the Hurricanes have gone 15-21 vs. the puck line and their average scoring margin is +.8 goals per game. So far, Carolina has played 64 games as the favorite, and their puck line record vs. the Eastern Conference is 26-38.

Overall, the team’s puck line record is 30-41, and they have 28 wins by multiple goals. Over their last ten home games, the Hurricanes’ puck line record is just 4-6.

In their most recent game, the Hurricanes fell to the Capitals on the road by a score of 7-6. Offensively, the Hurricanes’ offense scored in each period against the Capitals. Of Carolina’s six goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 31 shots on goal and had seven giveaways.

Carolina took a loss against the puck line, going into the game as the favorites with a -1.5-point advantage. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 5.5 goals, with a combined total of 13 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.7 goals per game which is 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 8th in the league. Coming into the game, the Maple Leafs have a 21-10 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 17-8.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 38-29-2. Coming into the game, they have played 39 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.9 goals per game.

Hurricanes Offense Breakdown

carolina hurricanes

The Hurricanes come into the game scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game, putting them 6th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 3rd in the league. The Carolina offense is ranked 4th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 7th in the NHL.

The Hurricanes’ over/under record this season is 30-40-1. For the season, they have had 40 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging 6.2 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Toronto defense takes on the Hurricanes ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 14th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Carolina Team Defense

Defensively, the Hurricanes come into the season ranked 32nd in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 25.7 shots per game against Carolina. For the season, they are ranked 6th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes Trends

  • Although Toronto has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the puck line going 2-3. The team averaged 4 goals per game in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Carolina has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Carolina has an puck line mark of 7-3 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their puck line record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Maple Leafs vs Hurricanes Prediction

If you’re interested in a pure moneyline wager, then the Hurricanes is the preferred option. However, with a payout of -189, it might be worth considering this bet as a component of a larger parlay.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Maple Leafs to cover. Even in the event of a Hurricanes victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Maple Leafs should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.