Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 2/24/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (32-16-8) travel to face off against the Colorado Avalanche (35-19-5) on Saturday, February 24th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Avalanche are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Wings. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 32-16-8, the Maple Leafs are currently in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division and 5th in the Eastern Conference. In their last ten games, Toronto has gone 8-2 and they have won their last six games. On the road this season, the Leafs are 17-6-6, and they have won their last three road games.

So far this season, the Maple Leafs have been the favorite in 47 of their 56 games, and they have gone 28-12-7 in those games. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Toronto has gone 11-17 this season.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 20-36 and an average scoring differential of +.6 goals per game. Against the puck line, Toronto has gone 6-4 in their last ten games and 4-1 in their previous five.

As the underdog, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 6-3 and have gone 14-33 against the puck line when favored. So far this year, Toronto has had 18 wins by multiple goals and 14 victories by just one goal.

Facing the Golden Knights in their last game, the Maple Leafs won by a score of 7-3. Against the Golden Knights, Maple Leafs’ offense was able to score in all three periods. In the game, Toronto managed to score all seven goals at even strength. They concluded with 42 shots on goal and committed 3 turnovers.

Toronto came in as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage and, as a result, recorded a win against the puck line. With a combined total of 10 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6 goals set for the game.

The Colorado Avalanche Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Avalanche have been dominant with a record of 22-5-0. Their home win streak is currently at six games, and they have been favored in 49 of their 59 games this season. In the Western Conference standings, the Avalanche are in 4th place and have gone 35-19-5 overall.

Against other Western Conference teams, Colorado has gone 22-11 this season and 8-7 within the Central Division. Over their last ten games, the Avalanche have gone just 4-6, but they have won two of their last three games.

At home this season, the Avalanche have a puck line record of 17-10. Overall, Colorado has gone 27-31 vs. the puck line, including 26 wins by multiple goals. When favored, the Avalanche have a puck line record of 24-25.

Heading into this game, the Avalanche’s average scoring margin at home is +1.6 goals per contest. In their last ten home games, Colorado has gone just 6-4 vs. the puck line.

Following a 2-1 loss on the road to the Red Wings, the Avalanche are eager to bounce back. On the offensive front, the Avalanche failed to score in the first or third periods against the Red Wings, but they found the net one time in the second period. Colorado’s’s lone goal during the game occurred at even strength. They ended with 31 shots on goal in total.

Colorado took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 3 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 7.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Maple Leafs have an average of 3.7 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 4th in the league. The Toronto offense is ranked 6th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 11th in the NHL.

This season, the over/under record for the Maple Leafs’ is 30-24-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 31 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.

Avalanche Offense Breakdown

colorado avalanche

When looking at their offense, the Avalanche have an average of 3.6 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 3rd in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Avalanche offense is 3rd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 8th in the NHL.

This season, the Avalanche have an over/under record of 34-22-2. Throughout the season, they have played 34 games that went over the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.8 per game.

Toronto Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Maple Leafs head into the game ranked 22nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. So far, they are 5th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Colorado Team Defense

The Avalanche defense is currently 18th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.3 shots per game against Colorado. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 23rd with 2 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 4 goals per game in these contests.
  • Colorado has played well in their previous five home games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 1. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 4-1.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Avalanche have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Maple Leafs have an puck line record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction

When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Maple Leafs to come out with a win against the Avalanche while playing on the road. Considering the moneyline odds at -101, I’m placing my bet on the Maple Leafs to win outright.

Our projections have the Maple Leafs pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Maple Leafs, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.