Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction 4/6/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (43-23-9) travel to face off against the Montreal Canadiens (29-34-12) on Saturday, April 6th. This game will be played at Bell Centre in Montreal and televised on ESPN+. Both the Maple Leafs and Canadiens will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Canadiens

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

On the season, the Maple Leafs are 43-23-9 and sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. When playing on the road, Toronto has gone 22-9-6 and have been favored in 60 of their 75 games.

Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 5-5, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, Toronto has gone 19-24.

On the road this season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 16-21 and an average scoring margin of +.7 goals per game. So far, Toronto has been favored in 60 of their games and has a puck line record of 19-41 in those games.

So far, the Maple Leafs have 25 wins by multiple goals and have gone 7-3 against the puck line in their last ten games. In their last 10 road games, Toronto has a puck line record of 7-3.

Following a 4-1 loss at home to the Lightning, the Maple Leafs are eager to bounce back. In the first period, the Maple Leafs found success on offense with one time, but that was the end of their scoring for the game. The team’s one goal occurred during a power play, and they managed to take 29 shots on goal while also having 10 giveaways.

Toronto went into the game favored by -1.5, giving them a loss vs. the puck line. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Montreal Canadiens Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With a record of 29-34-12, the Canadiens are in 15th place in the Eastern Conference and 8th in the Atlantic Division. At home, Montreal has gone 15-19-4 this season, and they have been the underdog in 69 of their 75 games.

Over their last ten games, the Canadiens have gone 4-6, and they have won two straight games when they have been favored. In the Eastern Conference, Montreal has gone 15-28 this season.

Montreal enters the game with a puck line record of 48-27, including a road puck line record of 24-13. In their last ten games at home, the Canadiens have gone 8-2 vs. the puck line.

So far this season, Montreal has been the underdog in all but six games, and their puck line record as the underdog is 46-23. Overall, the Canadiens’ average scoring margin is -.7 goals per game.

The Canadiens are looking to bounce back from a 7-4 loss at home to the Lightning. Against the Lightning, the Canadiens’ offense scored in all three periods. In the game, Montreal managed to score all four goals at even strength. They concluded with 30 shots on goal and committed 12 turnovers.

Entering the game as the underdog, Montreal not only suffered a straight-up loss but also failed to cover the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 11 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Maple Leafs are scoring an 3.6 goals per game this season, ranking 3rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 7th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Maple Leafs offense is 10th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 19th in the NHL.

This season, the over/under record for the Maple Leafs’ is 40-33-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 41 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Canadiens Offense Breakdown

montreal canadiens

Offensively, the Canadiens come into the game at 2.7 goals per contest placing 27th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 28th position in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Canadiens offense is 22nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 17th in the NHL.

The Canadiens come in with an over/under record of 37-36-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 39 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6.2 per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 22nd in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 10th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Montreal Team Defense

The Canadiens defense is currently 6th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 32.5 shots per game against Montreal. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 25th with 2 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Montreal has an puck line record of 3-2 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Canadiens have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their puck line record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their puck line record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Maple Leafs vs Canadiens Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Canadiens to defeat the Maple Leafs while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at +167, I’m placing a wager on the Canadiens to win outright.

Our projections have the Canadiens pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Canadiens, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.