The Toronto Maple Leafs (21-10-7) travel to face off against the New York Islanders (18-12-10) on Thursday, January 11th. This game will be played at UBS Arena in Elmont and televised on ESPN. The Maple Leafs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Islanders are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Canucks. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders
The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win
On the season, the Maple Leafs are 21-10-7, which puts them in 4th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 5-5, and they have won their last four games overall.
When playing on the road, the Maple Leafs have gone 11-3-5 this year, and they have won three straight road games. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 18-8-6 this season.
On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 13-25 against the puck line, including going 5-5 in their last ten games. So far, Toronto has been favored in 32 of their 44 games, and their average scoring margin when favored is at +.4 goals per game.
As the favorite, the Leafs have gone just 8-24 against the puck line, but they have won two straight games vs. the puck line as the favorite. Overall, Toronto has 10 wins by one goal compared to 11 wins by multiple goals.
In their recent matchup, the Maple Leafs hosted the Sharks and came away with a 7-1 victory. Against the Sharks, Maple Leafs’ offense was able to score in all three periods. Out of Toronto’s seven goals, three were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 45 shots on goal and had four giveaways.
Toronto also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals, with a combined total of 8 goals.
The New York Islanders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
At home this season, the Islanders have gone 10-5-6, and they come into this game having lost their last two games. On the year, New York is 18-12-10, and they are 7th in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Metropolitan Division, the Islanders are in 4th place.
Against other Eastern Conference teams, New York has gone 12-13, and they are 8-7-7 when they are the underdog. Over their last ten games, the Islanders have gone 4-6, and they are 1-4 in their last five games.
At home, the Islanders have gone 8-13 against the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin is at -0.3 goals per game. So far, New York has gone 21-19 against the puck line for the year, and they have gone 16-6 against the puck line when listed as the underdog.
Across their last ten home games, the Islanders have gone 6-4 against the puck line, and they have gone 2-3 against the puck line in their last five games. Overall, New York has 11 losses by multiple goals, and they have gone 1-2 against the puck line in their last three games.
The Islanders are looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss at home to the Canucks. The first period saw the Islanders being held without a goal, but they turned things around offensively by scoring one time in the second period and one goal in the third. Of New York’s two goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 20 shots on goal and had 14 giveaways.
New York took a loss against the puck line, going into the game as the favorites with a -1.5-point advantage. The combined total of 7 goals exceeded the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals for the game.
Toronto Offense Breakdown
In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 7th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 9th in the league. In terms of the Maple Leafs’ offense during power plays, they are 9th in power play goals and 14th in shorthanded goals.
For the season, the over/under record of the Maple Leafs’ stands at 20-17-1. They have had 21 games during the season that exceeded the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.
New York Offense Breakdown
On offense, the Islanders are averaging 3 goals per game which is 20th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 22nd in the league. In terms of the Islanders’ offense during power plays, they are 16th in power play goals and 5th in shorthanded goals.
This season, the Islanders have an over/under record of 24-14-2. Throughout the season, they have played 23 games that went over the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.4 per game.
Toronto Team Defense
Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 21st in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.2 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 6th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.
New York Team Defense
The Islanders defense is currently 3rd in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 34.9 shots per game against New York. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 4th with 4 shutouts.
Maple Leafs vs Islanders Trends
- In their last ten games away from home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
- Although New York has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 6-4. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Islanders have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- Toronto has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 puck line in their last three games.
When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Maple Leafs to come out with a win against the Islanders while playing on the road. Considering the moneyline odds at -126, I’m placing my bet on the Maple Leafs to win outright.
When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Islanders to cover. Even in the event of a Maple Leafs victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Islanders should cover the puck line.
If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.