Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 3/14/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (37-19-8) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Flyers (34-24-8) on Thursday, March 14th. This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:30 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Flyers

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

As the Maple Leafs head into this game, they are currently 5th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 37-19-8. On the road, Toronto has gone 19-7-6 this season, and they have been favored in 53 of their 64 games. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 7-3, and they have won their last two games as the favorite.

Within the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place, and they have gone 8-11 against divisional opponents. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 14-19 this year. Over their last five games, Toronto has gone 3-2, and in their last three games, they have gone 2-1.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone just 22-42 against the puck line, including a mark of 12-20 on the road. They have gone just 15-38 against the puck line when favored this year.

So far, Toronto has 19 wins by multiple goals and 18 wins by just one goal. The team’s average scoring margin this season sits at +.5 goals per game.

In their most recent matchup, the Maple Leafs played against the Canadiens and won with a score of 3-2. On offense, the Maple Leafs were held scoreless in the first period, but found the net two times in the second period and ended with one goal in the third. In the game, Toronto managed to score all three goals at even strength. They concluded with 27 shots on goal and committed 19 turnovers.

Despite the straight-up win, Toronto did not cover the puck line, as they were favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Philadelphia Flyers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s game, the Flyers are in 6th place in the Eastern Conference, with a record of 34-24-8. In the Metropolitan Division, they are in 3rd place.

At home this season, Philadelphia has gone 17-13-3. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they have a record of 15-20.

Philadelphia enters the game with an average scoring differential of .0 goals per game. So far, the Flyers have won 20 games by multiple goals and 14 games by just one goal.

As the underdog, the Flyers have a puck line record of 33-12, and their overall puck line record is at 39-27. In their last ten games at home, Philadelphia’s puck line mark is 5-5.

The Flyers played host to the Sharks in their previous game and emerged with a 3-2 win. Throughout the game against the Sharks, Flyers’ offense managed to score in every single period. Philadelphia’s one power-play goals contributed to their total of 3 goals. Their offensive performance came with 41 shots on goal and six giveaways.

Philadelphia couldn’t cover the puck line despite the straight-up win, as they entered the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. The game finished below the over/under line of 6 with a combined total of 5 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

The Maple Leafs come into the game scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game, putting them 5th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 10th in the league. In terms of the Maple Leafs’ offense during power plays, they are 8th in power play goals and 14th in shorthanded goals.

This season, the over/under record for the Maple Leafs’ is 33-29-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 34 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Flyers Offense Breakdown

philadelphia flyers

Offensively, the Flyers come into the game at 2.9 goals per contest placing 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 2nd position in the league. Looking at how the Flyers’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 31st in power play goals and 1st in shorthanded goals.

The Flyers come in with an over/under record of 27-36-3. Over the course of the season, they have had 32 games failing to surpass the 6 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 5.9 per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.5 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 10th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Philadelphia Team Defense

Defensively, the Flyers come into the season ranked 31st in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 27.6 shots per game against Philadelphia. For the season, they are ranked 16th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Flyers Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Philadelphia has an puck line record of 1-2 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Philadelphia has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 puck line in their last three games.
  • The last ten games that Toronto was favored, they have an puck line mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Maple Leafs vs Flyers Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Maple Leafs to secure a victory over the Flyers on the road. With the moneyline currently set at -134, I’m locking in my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Flyers to cover. Even in the event of a Maple Leafs victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Flyers should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.