The Toronto Maple Leafs (46-25-10) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (44-29-8) on Wednesday, April 17th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. Both the Maple Leafs and Lightning will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With just one game remaining in the regular season, the Maple Leafs have already clinched a playoff spot. Heading into tonight’s game, Toronto is in 5th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd place in the Atlantic Division. On the year, the Maple Leafs have gone 46-25-10, including a 22-27 record against other Eastern Conference teams.

On the road this season, Toronto has gone 24-10-6 and is currently riding a three-game losing streak. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 6-4 and have been the favorite in 65 of their 81 games.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 32-49, including a road puck line mark of 18-22. So far, Toronto has 27 wins by multiple goals and 19 wins by just one goal.

Coming into this game, the Maple Leafs have dropped three straight games vs. the puck line and have an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per contest. In their last ten road games, Toronto has gone 6-4 vs. the puck line.

In their most recent game, the Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers on the road by a score of 5-2. In the first period, the Maple Leafs found success on offense with two times, but that was the end of their scoring for the game. Out of Toronto’s two goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 26 shots on goal and had 11 giveaways.

As the underdog, Toronto suffered both a straight-up and loss vs. the puck line. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals, with a combined total of 7 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With a record of 44-29-8, the Lightning are in 6th place in the Eastern Conference and 4th in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 5-5 and they have lost two straight games as the favorite. This season, the Lightning have been the favorite in 50 of their 81 games and they have gone 30-17-3 in those games.

At home, the Lightning are 24-11-5 on the year and they have gone 11-14 against other teams in the Atlantic Division. Over their last five games, Tampa Bay has gone 1-4 and they have lost three straight games overall. Against the Eastern Conference, the Lightning have gone 25-24 this season.

At home this season, the Lightning are 22-18 vs. the puck line and 5-5 in their last ten games. Overall, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 42-39, and they have 33 wins by multiple goals.

So far, the Lightning have dropped three straight games vs. the puck line and are 0-3 in their last three games. In their last ten home games, Tampa Bay is 5-5 vs. the puck line.

Coming off a 4-2 loss at home to the Sabres, the Lightning are hoping to bounce back today. The first period saw the Lightning being held without a goal, but they turned things around offensively by scoring one time in the second period and one goal in the third. All two goals came at even strength. They finished with 33 shots on goal and had 9 turnovers.

In this game, Tampa Bay was favored by -1.5, but they suffered a loss against the puck line. The game ended with 6 goals, resulting in a push on the over/under line.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 2nd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. The Toronto offense is ranked 11th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 22nd in the NHL.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 44-35-2. Coming into the game, they have played 45 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.9 goals per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game which is 5th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 23rd in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 1st in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 23rd in the NHL.

The Lightning’s over/under record this season is 38-37-6. For the season, they have had 41 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs are currently 19th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 12th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.4 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 17th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Trends

• Although Toronto has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 6-4. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
• Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 2-3. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their puck line record was 5-0 in these scenarios.
• Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Toronto has an puck line mark of 5-5 while going 6-4 straight up.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Lightning to take down the Maple Leafs at home. With the moneyline currently at -132, I’m placing my bet on the Lightning straight-up.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Maple Leafs to cover. Even in the event of a Lightning victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Maple Leafs should cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.