Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 4/25/2024

The Florida Panthers (52-24-6) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8) on Thursday, April 25th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on TBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Panthers vs Lightning

florida panthers nhl

The Florida Panthers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into today’s game, the Panthers sit in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference and 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have an overall record of 52-24-6 and have won their last four games. On the road this year, Florida has gone 26-11-4.

Over their last ten games, the Panthers have gone 7-3 and have won five straight games as the favorite. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, Florida has gone 33-17 this season.

On the road this year, the Panthers have gone 27-14 against the puck line, and they have a puck line record of 41-41 overall. So far, Florida has gone 33-17 vs. the puck line when winning by multiple goals.

Across their last ten road games, the Panthers have gone 7-3 against the puck line, and they have an average scoring margin of +1.1 goals per game away from home. Overall, Florida has gone 29-38 against the puck line when favored.

In their last game, the Panthers were the hosts against the Maple Leafs, and they came away with a 5-2 win. In the opening period, the Panthers couldn’t find the net on offense, but they rebounded with four times in the second period and one goal in the third. In the game, Florida managed to score all five goals at even strength. They concluded with 42 shots on goal and committed 12 turnovers.

Florida also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals, with a combined total of 7 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 25-11-5, and they have been favored in 51 of their 82 games. In the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay is in 6th place and 4th in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone just 4-6, and they have lost four of their last five games.

Overall, Tampa Bay has gone 45-29-8, and they have 98 points on the season. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Lightning have gone 26-24, and they have gone 12-14 against other teams in the Atlantic Division. In games where they have been favored, Tampa Bay has gone 31-17-3.

At home this season, the Lightning have a puck line record of 23-18, and their average scoring margin is at +.8 goals per game. So far, Tampa Bay has been favored in 51 of their games, and their puck line record as the favorite is at 23-28. Overall, the team’s puck line record this season is at 43-39, and they have 34 wins by multiple goals.

Over their last ten home games, the Lightning have a puck line record of 6-4. In their last three games, Tampa Bay has gone 3-0 against the puck line, and their puck line record in their last five games is at 3-2. So far this season, the Lightning have 26 losses by multiple goals.

The Lightning recently hosted the Maple Leafs and emerged victorious with a 6-4 win. Against the Maple Leafs, the Lightning’s offense scored in all three periods. Of Tampa Bay’s six goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 32 shots on goal and three giveaways.

Tampa Bay also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 10 goals.

Florida Offense Breakdown

The Panthers come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 11th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 2nd in the league. This season, the Panthers have a 38-19 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 10-4 record.

The Panthers come in with an over/under record of 30-49-3. Over the course of the season, they have had 45 games failing to surpass the 6 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 5.7 per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

tampa bay lightning

When looking at their offense, the Lightning have an average of 3.5 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 5th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Lightning offense is 1st in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 24th in the NHL.

This season, the Lightning have an over/under record of 39-37-6. Throughout the season, they have played 41 games that went over the 6 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.8 per game.

Florida Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Panthers head into the game ranked 29th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 27.6 shots per game against Florida. So far, they are 3rd in shutouts, achieving 8 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Tampa Bay defense takes on the Panthers ranked 21st in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.5 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 17th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Panthers vs Lightning Trends

  • In their last five road games, Florida has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 2-3 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Lightning have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 3-0.
  • Against the spread, the Panthers have put together of 2-3 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 5-0 straight up.

Panthers vs Lightning Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Lightning to pick up on a win over the Panthers at home. With the moneyline sitting at -116, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Lightning straight-up.

My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Panthers to cover. Even if the Lightning win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Panthers should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.