Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction 3/22/2024

The Pittsburgh Penguins (30-29-9) travel to face off against the Dallas Stars (42-19-9) on Friday, March 22nd. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on ESPN+. The Stars are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Penguins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Devils. Puck drop is set for 8:00 ET.

Penguins vs Stars

pittsburgh penguins nhl

The Pittsburgh Penguins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Through 68 games, the Penguins have a record of 30-29-9, putting them in 7th place in the Metropolitan Division and 13th in the Eastern Conference. On the road, Pittsburgh is 12-16-5, and they have gone 8-11 against divisional opponents.

Over their last ten games, the Penguins have gone just 3-7, and they have lost seven straight games when listed as the underdog. In games where they have been favored, Pittsburgh has gone 21-15-6 this season, including a two-game winning streak.

On the season, the Penguins have gone 31-37 against the puck line, including going 17-25 as the favorite. So far, they have 21 wins by multiple goals and have lost by more than one goal 20 times.

As the underdog, Pittsburgh is 14-12 against the puck line, and they come into this game having dropped five straight games vs. the puck line as the underdog. In their last ten road games, the Penguins have gone just 4-6 vs. the puck line.

Coming off a 5-2 loss on the road to the Devils, the Penguins are hoping to bounce back today. Offensively, the Penguins couldn’t break through in the first period, but they scored one time in the second period and one goal in the third. All two goals came at even strength. They finished with 38 shots on goal and had 3 turnovers.

Pittsburgh entered as the underdog and suffered both a straight-up loss and did not cover the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 7 goals.

The Dallas Stars Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Stars have been strong, going 21-10-4, and they have won two straight games. In the Western Conference, Dallas is in 4th place and 3rd in the Central Division. For the year, the Stars have a record of 42-19-9.

When favored, Dallas has gone 38-15-7, and they have won two straight games when favored. Over their last ten games, the Stars have gone 7-3, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games. In the Western Conference, Dallas is 26-14 against other Western Conference teams.

At home this season, Dallas has a puck line record of 11-24 and an average scoring margin of +.7 goals per game. Overall, the Stars have gone 28-42 on the puck line, including 21 multiple-goal wins.

Heading into this game, Dallas has a puck line record of 5-5 over their last ten games and a puck line record of 20-40 when favored. In their last three games, the Stars have gone 2-1 vs. the puck line.

The Stars most recently faced the Coyotes at home and achieved a 5-2 win. The first period saw the Stars being held without a goal, but they turned things around offensively by scoring three times in the second period and two goals in the third. In the game, Dallas managed to score all five goals at even strength. They concluded with 33 shots on goal and committed 7 turnovers.

Coming into the game favored by -1.5, Dallas also managed to pick up a victory against the puck line. The combined total of 7 goals exceeded the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals for the game.

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Penguins are scoring an 2.9 goals per game this season, ranking 26th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 4th in the league. This season, the Penguins have a 19-18 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 10-10 record.

The Penguins’ over/under record this season is 28-35-5. For the season, they have had 39 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging 5.9 goals per game.

Stars Offense Breakdown

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For their offensive performance, the Stars come in averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, which is 2nd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 12th in the league. Dallas’ offense is currently ranked 13th in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 2nd in the league.

This season, the over/under record for the Stars’ is 40-29-1. Over the course of the season, they have had 40 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.7 goals per game.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

Defensively, the Penguins are currently 15th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.3 shots per game against Pittsburgh. They also are 1st in shutouts, coming in with 7 shutouts.

Dallas Team Defense

The Stars defense is currently 23rd in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.1 shots per game against Dallas. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 26th with 2 shutouts.

Penguins vs Stars Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Pittsburgh has an puck line record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 1 goals per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Stars have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last three games as the underdog, the Stars have an puck line record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.
  • As the betting favorite, the Penguins have an puck line mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Pittsburgh posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Penguins vs Stars Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Penguins to defeat the Stars while playing on the road. Given the current moneyline odds at +163, I’m placing a wager on the Penguins to win outright.

Our projections have the Penguins pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Penguins, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.