penguins vs lightning nhl prediction

NHL Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Prediction 12/6/2023

The Pittsburgh Penguins (11-11-3)  travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (11-10-5) on Wednesday, December 6th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on BSSU. The Lightning are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Penguins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Flyers. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning

The Pittsburgh Penguins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This season, the Penguins have put together an overall record of 11-11-3. When playing on the road, Pittsburgh has gone 6-5-2, while their home record stands at 5-6-1. Their current record places them 7th in the Eastern Metropolitan division and 12th in the Eastern conference. Pittsburgh comes in with nine wins with a margin of more than one goal this season and lost seven games by multiple goals. Their overall puck line performance is 11-13.

Following a 2-1 loss on the road to the Flyers, the Penguins are eager to bounce back. In the first period on offense, the Penguins managed to score one time, but that turned out to be the only scoring they could muster for the entire game. Pittsburgh’s’s lone goal during the game occurred at even strength. They ended with 32 shots on goal in total.

Pittsburgh went into the game favored by -1.5, giving them a loss vs. the puck line. The over/under line for the game was 6.5, and it concluded with a combined total of 3 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

For the season, the Lightning currently hold an overall record of 11-10-5. On the road, Tampa Bay has gone 4-7-2 and they are 7-3-3 at home. Their current record places them 5th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 9th in the Eastern conference. Tampa Bay comes in with nine wins with a margin of more than one goal this season and lost 10 games by multiple goals. Their overall puck line performance is 14-12.

The Lightning most recently faced the Stars at home and achieved a 4-0 win. In the 3rd period, the Lightning found the net two times against the Stars after their two goals in the first period. In the game, Tampa Bay managed to score all four goals at even strength. They concluded with 23 shots on goal and committed 13 turnovers.

Entering the game as the underdog, Tampa Bay came away with a victory against the puck line. The game finished below the over/under line of 6.5 with a combined total of 4 goals.

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Penguins come into the game at 3 goals per contest placing 18th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 6th position in the league. This year, the Penguins have recorded a 6-6 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have 5-5 record.

This season, the Penguins’ have an over/under record of 8-15-1. Throughout the season, they have played 15 games that did not exceed the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 5.7 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

The Lightning come into the game scoring an average of 3.3 goals per game, putting them 4th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 10th in the league. Looking at how the Lightning’s offense is performing during power plays, they are 2nd in power play goals and 29th in shorthanded goals.

So far, the Lightning have an over/under record of 12-12-2. Coming into the game, they have played 14 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.9 goals per game.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

The Penguins defense is currently 13th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.3 shots per game against Pittsburgh. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 1st with 4 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.7 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Penguins vs Lightning Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Penguins offense has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. Pittsburgh posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.
  • Across their five previous home games, Tampa Bay has an puck line mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Tampa Bay has an puck line mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Penguins have a straight up record of 0-3 and an puck line mark of 0-3.

Penguins vs Lightning Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Lightning to take down the Penguins at home. With the moneyline currently at -135, I’m placing my bet on the Lightning straight-up.

When making a puck line pick, we’re backing the Lightning to win and cover. Watch for the Lightning to win this game by multiple goals over the Penguins.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to remain below that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.