Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 3/6/2024

The Buffalo Sabres (29-29-4) travel to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-18-8) on Wednesday, March 6th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on TNT. Both the Sabres and Maple Leafs will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs

buffalo sabres nhl

The Buffalo Sabres Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Heading into tonight’s game, the Sabres are 29-29-4 overall, which puts them in 13th place in the Eastern Conference and 6th in the Atlantic Division. On the road, Buffalo has gone 15-12-3 for the season.

Over their last ten games, the Sabres are 6-4 and have won two straight games as the favorite. When they have been the underdog, Buffalo has gone 16-20-3 this season.

Buffalo comes into the game with a puck line record of 33-29 this season. So far, the Sabres have gone 19-11 against the puck line on the road.

When looking at their last ten games, Buffalo has gone 5-5 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin on the road is at exactly 0 goals per game.

The Sabres aim to bounce back following their 5-2 loss at home to the Jets. In terms of offense, the Sabres netted one goal during the opening period and one time in the second period. Out of Buffalo’s two goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 19 shots on goal and had five giveaways.

As the underdog, Buffalo suffered both a straight-up and loss vs. the puck line. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals, with a combined total of 7 goals.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 17-12-2 and have been favored in 51 of their 61 games. In the Atlantic Division, they are 6-10 and sit in third place, while they are fifth in the Eastern Conference with 78 points. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 8-2, and they have won two straight games as the underdog.

Overall, the Maple Leafs are 35-18-8, and they have gone 30-14-7 when favored. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Toronto has gone 12-18, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games. On the year, the Maple Leafs have scored 200 goals and given up 177.

At home, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 10-21, and their average scoring margin for the season is +.5 goals per game. So far, Toronto has gone 15-36 against the puck line as the favorite.

Overall, the Maple Leafs have 19 wins by multiple goals and 15 losses by more than one goal. In their last ten home games, the team has gone just 3-7 vs. the puck line.

The Maple Leafs are looking to bounce back from a 4-1 loss at home to the Bruins. In the first and second periods, the Maple Leafs didn’t score a goal, but they managed to break the drought with one goal in the third period. Toronto’s’s lone goal during the game occurred at even strength. They ended with 33 shots on goal in total.

Toronto took a loss against the puck line, going into the game as the favorites with a -1.5-point advantage. The over/under line for the game was 6.5, and it concluded with a combined total of 5 goals.

Buffalo Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Sabres are averaging 2.9 goals per game this season, putting them in the 23rd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 12th in the league. The Buffalo offense is ranked 27th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 15th in the NHL.

The Sabres’ over/under record this season is 25-35-2. For the season, they have had 37 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging 6 goals per game.

Maple Leafs Offense Breakdown

toronto maple leafs

For their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs come in averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, which is 4th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 5th in the league. The Maple Leafs went 19-9 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 14-8.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 33-26-2. Coming into the game, they have played 34 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.9 goals per game.

Buffalo Team Defense

The Sabres defense is currently 26th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29 shots per game against Buffalo. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 10th with 4 shutouts.

Toronto Team Defense

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 24th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 6th with 4 shutouts.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Buffalo has an puck line mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Toronto has an puck line mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Toronto has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 puck line in their last three games.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Sabres struggled vs the puck line going just 0-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 2-1.

Sabres vs Maple Leafs Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Sabres to pick up on a win over the Maple Leafs and the road. With the moneyline sitting at +155, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Sabres straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Sabres winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Sabres straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.