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NHL St. Louis Blues vs Bay Lightning Prediction 12/19/2023

The St. Louis Blues (15-14-1) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (14-13-5) on Tuesday, December 19th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa. The Blues are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Flames. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning

The St. Louis Blues Are Coming Off A Win

This season, the Blues currently hold an overall record of 15-14-1. When playing on the road, St. Louis has a 6-9-1 record, while they are 9-5-0 at home. They are currently positioned 6th in the Western Central division and 9th in the Western conference. St. Louis’ average scoring margin this season is -0.4, leading to an overall puck line record of 15-15. At their home arena, they have a scoring margin of +.2, while on the road, it is -0.9.

The Blues played host to the Stars in their previous game and emerged with a 4-3 win. Offensively, the Blues scored one goal in the first period and two times in the second period. Of St. Louis’ four goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 34 shots on goal and eight giveaways.

Despite being the underdog, St. Louis managed to secure a win against the puck line in the game. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 7 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

So far this season, the Lightning have an overall record of 14-13-5. Currently, they are 8-3-3 at home and carry a two game home win streak into the game. They are currently positioned 5th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 11th in the Eastern conference. Tampa Bay comes in with 11 wins with a margin of more than one goal this season and lost 13 games by multiple goals. Their overall puck line performance is 16-16.

Coming off a 4-2 loss on the road to the Flames, the Lightning are hoping to bounce back today. Offensively, the Lightning faced a challenge in the first and second periods, failing to score. However, they did score two goals in the third period. Out of Tampa Bay’s two goals, one were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 33 shots on goal and had eight giveaways.

Tampa Bay took a loss vs. the puck line in the game, going into the game favored by -1.5. The game ended below the over/under line of 6.5, with a combined total of 6 goals.

St. Louis Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Blues are averaging 2.9 goals per game this season, putting them in the 25th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 18th in the league. In terms of the Blues’ offense during power plays, they are 31st in power play goals and 2nd in shorthanded goals.

The Blues come in with an over/under record of 11-17-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 19 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6.2 per game.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Lightning are scoring an 3.3 goals per game this season, ranking 5th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 9th in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 1st in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 30th in the NHL.

The Lightning’s over/under record this season is 14-16-2. Last season, they had 40 games failed to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games averaged 6.5 goals per game.

St. Louis Team Defense

Defensively, the Blues are currently 9th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 32 shots per game against St. Louis. They also are 15th in shutouts, coming in with 2 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.8 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 5th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Blues vs Lightning Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, St. Louis has an puck line record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 2 goals per game.
  • In their last five games at home, the Lightning have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have a straight up record of 1-2 and an puck line mark of 1-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Blues have an puck line mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. St. Louis posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.

Blues vs Lightning Prediction

If you’re searching for a moneyline bet in this matchup, our analysis favors the Lightning as the likely winner. Nevertheless, considering the current odds at -175, I’d suggest exploring the puc line bet, as our projections indicate the Lightning winning by more than a single goal.

When making a puck line pick, we’re backing the Lightning to win and cover. Watch for the Lightning to win this game by multiple goals over the Blues.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will remain below that figure, and we recommend wagering on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.