Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders Prediction 1/21/2024

NHL: Stars vs. New York Islanders Prediction 1/21/2024

The Dallas Stars (27-13-5) travel to face off against the New York Islanders (19-16-11) on Sunday, January 21st. This game will be played at UBS Arena in Elmont and televised on ESPN+. The Stars are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Islanders are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blackhawks. Puck drop is set for 7:30 ET.

Stars vs Islanders

dallas stars nhl

The Dallas Stars Are Coming Off A Win

On the season, the Stars are 27-13-5, putting them in 4th place in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Central Division. When playing on the road, Dallas has gone 13-5-3.

Overall, the Stars have been favored in 42 of their 45 games, going 25-12-5 as the favorite. In their last three games, Dallas has gone 2-1, and over their last ten games, they are 5-5.

On the road this season, the Stars have gone 10-11 against the puck line and have an average scoring margin of +.7 goals per game. So far, they have 14 wins by multiple goals compared to just three as the underdog.

Across their last ten road games, Dallas has gone just 4-6 against the puck line. In their last five games, they have gone 3-2 vs. the puck line, and in their last three, they are 2-1.

The Stars most recently took on the Devils and secured a win with a score of 6-2. Against the Devils, the Stars’ offense netted goals in all three periods. Dallas finished with one power-play goals, while they also managed to score one time when shorthanded. Their game concluded with 36 shots on goal.

Dallas secured a win against the puck line, entering the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals, with a combined total of 8 goals.

The New York Islanders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At 49 points, the Islanders enter this game with a record of 19-16-11, putting them in 6th place in the Metropolitan Division and 11th in the Eastern Conference. Over their last ten games, New York has gone just 2-8, and they have lost four straight games. When playing at home, the Islanders have gone 11-5-6 this year.

As the underdog, New York is 9-9-7 on the season and has lost two straight games when not favored. Against other teams from the Eastern Conference, the Islanders have gone 13-13 this season.

When playing at home, the Islanders have gone 9-13 vs. the puck line this season, and their overall puck line record is now at 22-23. So far, the team’s average scoring differential is at -0.5 goals per game.

As the underdog, New York has gone 17-8 against the puck line this season, and they have dropped their last four games vs. the puck line. In their last 10 games at home, the Islanders have gone 7-3 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring differential is at -0.3 goals per game.

Following a 4-3 loss on the road to the Blackhawks, the Islanders are eager to bounce back. In the first period against the Blackhawks, the Islanders scored one goal, in addition to scoring two times in the 3rd period. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 29 shots on goal and had 5 turnovers.

New York went into the game favored by -1.5, giving them a loss vs. the puck line. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 5.5 goals, with a combined total of 7 goals.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Stars have an average of 3.7 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 3rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 19th in the league. Coming into the game, the Stars have a 15-8 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 12-5.

This season, the over/under record for the Stars’ is 28-16-1. Over the course of the season, they have had 28 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Islanders Offense Breakdown

new york islanders

On the offensive side, the Islanders are scoring an 2.9 goals per game this season, ranking 23rd in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 22nd in the league. So far this year, the Islanders are 6-5 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 13-11 in games with fewer shots on goal.

For the season, the over/under record of the Islanders’ stands at 26-16-3. They have had 25 games during the season that exceeded the 6 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.4 goals per game.

Dallas Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Stars head into the game ranked 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.2 shots per game against Dallas. So far, they are 24th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

New York Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Islanders head into the game ranked 2nd in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 34.8 shots per game against New York. So far, they are 5th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Stars vs Islanders Trends

  • Although Dallas has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 4-6. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Across the Islanders last ten home games, the team averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 3. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 7-3, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Islanders have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 1-2.
  • The last ten games that Dallas was favored, they have an puck line mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.

Stars vs Islanders Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Stars to take down the Islanders on the road. With the moneyline currently at -116, I’m placing my bet on the Stars straight-up.

My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Islanders to cover. Even if the Stars win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Islanders should cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.