Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 11/11/2024

The Dallas Stars (8-5-0) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Penguins (6-8-2) on Monday, November 11th. This game will be played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh and televised on ESPN+. The Penguins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Stars are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Panthers. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Stars vs Penguins

dallas stars nhl

The Dallas Stars Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Dallas fell to 8-5-0 after a 4-2 loss to the Panthers. The Stars were underdogs on the puck line, and the total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, with the combined score of 6 falling just short.

After falling behind 2-0, the Stars tied it up with two goals in the second period. However, the Panthers pulled ahead with a goal early in the third and sealed the win with an empty-netter at the 19:00 mark.

The Pittsburgh Penguins Are Coming Off A Win

With a 3-1 win over the Canadiens, the Penguins improved to 6-8-2 this season. Pittsburgh covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 4 goals fell short of the 6.5 set before the game.

Sidney Crosby led the way with two goals, including one in the first period at 15:57. The Canadiens scored in the third period to cut the lead to 2-1, but Blake Lizotte sealed the win with an empty-net goal at 19:15.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

Dallas took 25 shots on goal against the Panthers but only found the net twice. Evgenii Dadonov scored his second goal of the season, while Matt Duchene added his seventh. Duchene also picked up his eighth assist on Dadonov’s power-play goal.

The Stars had 32 giveaways in the game and were held scoreless in the first and third periods. They scored both of their goals in the second period, with Wyatt Johnston earning his fifth assist, and Thomas Harley picking up his fifth as well. Miro Heiskanen recorded his fourth assist on Duchene’s goal.

Penguins Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh penguins

Sidney Crosby led the Penguins’ offense with two goals in their 3-1 win over Montreal. He scored his 4th goal of the season at 4:03 in the 1st period, followed by his 5th on a power play at 1:20 in the 2nd. Blake Lizotte added an empty-netter, his 2nd goal of the year, with 45 seconds left in the game.

Pittsburgh fired 24 shots on goal and recorded 14 giveaways. The Penguins scored twice in the 1st period and added their second goal in the 2nd, before Lizotte’s late empty-netter.

Dallas Team Defense

On the defensive side, the Stars gave up the first two goals of the game and were unable to hold a 2-2 tie in the 3rd period. They allowed the Panthers to score at the 17:28 mark of the 3rd, followed by an empty net goal with 1:00 remaining. Goalie Casey DeSmith made 21 saves with a save percentage of 87.5%.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

On defense, the Penguins will look to build on their previous performance, where they allowed just one goal to the Canadiens. Alex Nedeljkovic made 25 saves with a 96.2% save percentage, and the defense added 5 takeaways and 19 hits. The only goal they allowed came 5:32 into the 3rd period.

Stars vs Penguins Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Dallas has an puck line record of 4-6 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games at home, the Penguins have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 2 goals per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Penguins have a straight up record of 1-4 and an puck line mark of 3-2.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Stars have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the puck line in these matchups is 2-3.

Stars vs Penguins Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Penguins to defeat the Stars while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at +135, I’m placing a wager on the Penguins to win outright.

Our projections have the Penguins pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Penguins, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.