stars vs lightning nhl prediction

NHL Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 12/4/2023

The Dallas Stars (14-5-3) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-10-5) on Monday, December 4th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on BSSW. The Stars are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Stars. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning

The Dallas Stars Are Coming Off A Win

This season, the Stars have put together an overall record of 14-5-3. When playing on the road, Dallas has gone 8-1-2, while their home record stands at 6-4-1. At the moment, they hold the 2nd spot in the Western Central division and are ranked 5th in the Western conference. Dallas’ average scoring margin for the season is +.8, resulting in an overall puck line record of 9-13. When playing at home their scoring margin is +.4, whereas in away games, they are at +1.2.

The Stars most recently faced the Lightning at home and achieved a 8-1 win. Facing off against the Lightning’s defense, the Stars offense scored in all three periods. Of Dallas’ eight goals, two were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 34 shots on goal and four giveaways.

Dallas came in as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage and, as a result, recorded a win against the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 9 goals.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As they head into their game vs. the Stars, the Lightning have a 10-10-5 record thus far. While playing at home, their record stands at 6-3-3, and they have 4-7-2 mark on the road. Their current record places them 5th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 10th in the Eastern conference. Tampa Bay’s average scoring difference this season sits at -0.4, which has contributed to their overall puck line record of 13-12. When playing at home, they have a scoring margin of +.3, and on the road, it is -1.1.

In their most recent game, the Lightning fell to the Stars on the road by a score of 8-1. On offense, the Lightning scored one time in the first period, but that was all the scoring they could come up with for the game. Their one goal came during a power play situation. In total, they took 33 shots on goal and had 8 giveaways.

Tampa Bay entered as the underdog and suffered both a straight-up loss and did not cover the puck line. The combined total of 9 goals exceeded the over/under line, which was set at 6 goals for the game.

Dallas Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Stars are averaging 3.5 goals per game which is 11th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 27th in the league. This season, the Stars have a 7-3 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 7-2 record.

The Stars come in with an over/under record of 12-10-0. Over the season, there have been 12 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.4 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Lightning are averaging 3.3 goals per game which is 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 7th in the league. The Lightning went 7-6 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 3-4.

So far, the Lightning have an over/under record of 12-11-2. Coming into the game, they have played 14 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 7 goals per game.

Dallas Team Defense

The Stars defense is currently 18th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.7 shots per game against Dallas. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 20th with 1 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Tampa Bay defense takes on the Stars ranked 7th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 31 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They alsso are 3rd in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.

Stars vs Lightning Trends

  • Across the Stars last ten road games, the team averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 6-4, while going 8-2 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of 5-5 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Tampa Bay has an puck line mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Dallas has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 puck line in their last three games.

Stars vs Lightning Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Lightning to defeat the Stars while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at -110, I’m placing a wager on the Lightning to win outright.

My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Stars to cover. Even if the Lightning win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Stars should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.