lightning vs oilers nhl betting prediction

NHL Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Prediction 12/14/2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning (13-12-5) travel to face off against the Edmonton Oilers (13-12-1) on Thursday, December 14th. This game will be played at Rogers Place in Edmonton. The Oilers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Canucks. Puck drop is set for 9:00 ET.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Facing the Oilers, the Lightning have a record of 13-12-5 so far. At home, their record is 8-3-3 and 5-9-2 on the road. Their current record places them 5th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 11th in the Eastern conference. Tampa Bay’s average scoring margin for the season is -0.3, resulting in an overall puck line record of 15-15. When playing at home their scoring margin is +.7, whereas in away games, they are at -1.2.

After suffering a 4-1 loss on the road to the Canucks, the Lightning are looking to bounce back today. In the first period, the Lightning found success on offense with one time, but that was the end of their scoring for the game. Against Vancouver, Tampa Bay’s offense scored their only goal at even strength. They recorded 29 shots on goal overall.

As the underdog, Tampa Bay suffered both a straight-up and loss vs. the puck line. The over/under line for the game was 6.5, and it concluded with a combined total of 5 goals.

The Edmonton Oilers Are Coming Off A Win

In their 26 games, the Oilers have a 13-12-1 record this season. While playing at their home arena, they have a 9-4-1 record, and their record on the road is 4-8-0. They are currently positioned 4th in the Western Pacific division and 9th in the Western conference. Edmonton’s average scoring margin this season is +.3, leading to an overall puck line record of 10-16. At their home arena, they have a scoring margin of +1.2, while on the road, it is -0.8.

In their most recent game, the Oilers hosted the Blackhawks and secured a 4-1 victory. Against the Blackhawks, Oilers’ offense was able to score in all three periods. Of Edmonton’s four goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 29 shots on goal and 12 giveaways.

Edmonton also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Lightning are averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, putting them in the 5th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. This season, the Lightning have a 9-8 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 4-4 record.

The Lightning’s come into the game with an over/under record of 13-15-2. Over the course of last season, they had 40 games that did not surpass the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games was 6.5 per game.

Edmonton Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Oilers are averaging 3.5 goals per game which is 11th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 13th in the league. This season, the Oilers have a 9-6 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. In games with fewer shots on goal, they hold a 4-6 record.

For the season, the over/under record of the Oilers’ stands at 13-10-3. They have had 16 games during the season that exceeded the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 11th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.1 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 3rd in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Edmonton Team Defense

Defensively, the Oilers are currently 29th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 28.2 shots per game against Edmonton. They also are 24th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Lightning vs Oilers Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Lightning offense has averaged 1 goals per game while allowing an average of 4. Tampa Bay posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 0-5 ATS.
  • In their last five games at home, the Oilers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Oilers have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 0-3.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Lightning have a good straight up record, but their puck line mark is just 1-2.

Lightning vs Oilers Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Lightning to pick up on a win over the Oilers and the road. With the moneyline sitting at +130, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Lightning straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Lightning winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Lightning straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.