lightning vs coyotes nhl prediction

NHL Tampa Lightning vs Arizona Coyotes Prediction 11/28/2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning (10-7-5) travel to face off against the Arizona Coyotes (9-9-2) on Tuesday, November 28th. This game will be played at Mullett Arena in Tempe and televised on ESPN+. The Coyotes are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Avalanche. Puck drop is set for 9:00 ET.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Arizona Coyotes

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This season, the Lightning have put together an overall record of 10-7-5. When playing on the road, Tampa Bay has gone 4-5-2, while their home record stands at 6-2-3. They are currently positioned 4th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 5th in the Eastern conference. Tampa Bay’s average scoring margin this season is .0, leading to an overall puck line record of 8-14. At their home arena, they have a scoring margin of +.5, while on the road, it is -0.5.

After suffering a 4-1 loss on the road to the Avalanche, the Lightning are looking to bounce back today. Offensively, the Lightning did not score in the first or third periods vs. the Avalanche but found the net one time in the second period. For the game, Tampa Bay’s only goal came at even strength. Overall, they had 38 shots on goal vs. Colorado.

Coming in as the underdog, Tampa Bay not only lost straight-up but also failed to cover the puck line. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Arizona Coyotes Are Coming Off A Win

For the season, the Coyotes currently hold an overall record of 9-9-2. On the road, Arizona has gone 5-5-2 and they are 4-4-0 at home. At the moment, they hold the 6th spot in the Western Central division and are ranked 11th in the Western conference. This season, Arizona’s average scoring margin is +.1, which has their puck line record at 4-16. Their average home scoring margin is +.4, and in road games, it stands at -0.1.

Facing the Golden Knights in their last game, the Coyotes won by a score of 2-0. The first two periods saw the Coyotes struggling to find the net on offense, but they turned things around by scoring two goals in the third period. All two goals came at even strength. They finished with 18 shots on goal and had 2 turnovers.

Going into the game, Arizona was the underdog, giving them a win vs. the puck line. Combining for 2 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

For their offensive performance, the Lightning come in averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, which is 2nd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 11th in the league. Tampa Bay’s offense comes into the game ranked 1st in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 27th in the NHL.

So far, the Lightning have an over/under record of 11-9-2. Coming into the game, they have played 13 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 7.1 goals per game.

Arizona Offense Breakdown

For their offensive performance, the Coyotes come in averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, which is 22nd in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 29th in the league. The Arizona offense is ranked 7th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 32nd in the NHL.

This season, the over/under record for the Coyotes’ is 12-8-0. Over the course of the season, they have had 12 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.4 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Tampa Bay defense takes on the Coyotes ranked 6th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 31.1 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They alsso are 3rd in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.

Arizona Team Defense

Defensively, the Coyotes come into the season ranked 11th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 32.2 shots per game against Arizona. For the season, they are ranked 21st in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Lightning vs Coyotes Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Lightning have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 3 goals per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three home games, the Coyotes have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Coyotes have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 3-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Lightning have an puck line mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Tampa Bay posted a straight up mark of 5-5 in these matchups.

Lightning vs Coyotes Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Lightning to defeat the Coyotes while playing on the road. Given the current moneyline odds at -135, I’m placing a wager on the Lightning to win outright.

My recommended pick for the puck line is to take the Coyotes to cover. Even if the Lightning win straight-up, this one should be close throughout and the Coyotes should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.