North Carolina State vs Florida State NCAAB Betting Prediction

North Carolina State vs Florida State Prediction 2/27/2024

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (17-10) travel to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (14-13) on Tuesday, February 27th. This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee and televised on ESPN2. North Carolina State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Clemson. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles

The North Carolina State Wolfpack Are Coming Off A Win

North Carolina State heads into this game with a record of 17-10 and a 9-7 mark in Atlantic Coast Conference play. The Wolfpack have gone 8-3 in non-conference games and are 5-6 on the road this season.

For the year, North Carolina State has been an underdog in nine games and has a record of 2-7 in those matchups. In their last game, they beat Boston College 81-70, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

North Carolina State’s ATS record currently sits at 12-14-1 for the season. On the road, they are 4-6-1 vs. the spread and 2-1 in their last three games. As the underdog, the Wolfpack have gone 4-4-1 vs. the spread this year and 2-1 in their last three games.

North Carolina State’s over/under record for the season is 16-10-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 147.4 points, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 146.7. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 150.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 158 points.

The Florida State Seminoles Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Florida State enters this game with a record of 14-13 and an 8-8 mark in Atlantic Coast Conference play. The Seminoles have gone 9-7 at home this season, and they are 8-5 when favored.

In their last game, Florida State fell to Clemson by a score of 74-63. Over their last 10 games at home, the Seminoles have gone 5-5.

Florida State has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 13-13-1 mark. At home, the Seminoles are just 7-8-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Florida State is just 3-6-1 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is similar to the average over/under line in Florida State’s games this season (150.1). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

North Carolina State Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, North Carolina State’s offense looked good, scoring 81 points against Boston College. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 43.5% and made 21/24 free throws. D.J. Burns led the scoring for the Wolfpack, contributing 19 points. Additionally, Jayden Taylor chipped in with 15 points.

Name PPG REB AST
DJ Horne (G) 17.6 3.4 2.4
D.J. Burns (F) 12.2 4.2 2.6
Casey Morsell (G) 11.4 2.8 1.7

Florida State Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Florida State offense ended with 63 points against Clemson. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 36.9% and made 4 threes. Jamir Watkins is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Darin Green Jr brings a PPG average of 11.4 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Jamir Watkins (F) 14.9 5.9 2.7
Darin Green Jr (G) 11.4 3.0 1.0
Baba Miller (F) 7.7 4.9 1.4

North Carolina State Team Defense

Currently, the Wolfpack’s defense holds the 163rd rank in the nation, allowing 71.4 points per game. In today’s game vs. Florida State, the North Carolina State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, North Carolina State made 21 free-throws vs. the Wolfpack.

Florida State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Florida State defense is giving up an average of 74.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. North Carolina State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.7%.

Wolfpack vs Seminoles Trends

  • In their last three road games, North Carolina State has averaged 74 points per game while allowing 79. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • Across the Seminoles last three home games, the team averaged 67 points per game while allowing 73. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wolfpack have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 2-2-1.
  • Florida State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Wolfpack vs Seminoles Prediction

Not only do we have the Seminoles winning this one by a score of 75-68, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Seminoles at -2.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 150.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.