The North Carolina State Wolfpack (17-14) travel to face off against the North Carolina Tar Heels (25-6) on Saturday, March 16th. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels
The North Carolina State Wolfpack Are Coming Off A Win
North Carolina State enters this game as a 9.5-point underdog, and they are 4-11 this season as the underdog. They are coming off a 74-69 win over Duke, and they have won two straight games. On the road, the Wolfpack are 7-9 this season, and their average scoring margin is -2.5 points per game.
This season, North Carolina State has an overall record of 17-14, and they are 11-11 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. Over their last 10 road games, the Wolfpack are 4-6, and their record on the road this season is 3-0.
As the underdog this season, North Carolina State has an ATS record of 7-7-1 and an overall ATS mark of 15-17-1. On the road, the Wolfpack are 7-8-1 vs. the spread and have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, NC State is 6-4 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 147 is similar to the average over/under line in North Carolina State’s games this season (147.3). So far, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.
The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win
North Carolina State will have a tough task on their hands as they try to snap North Carolina’s eight-game winning streak. The Tar Heels have been dominant at home this season, going 18-2, and they are 25-5 when favored this year. In their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.
North Carolina’s average scoring margin at home this season is +16.5, and they have gone 5-0 in their last five games at home. In their last game, they beat Pittsburgh by a score of 72-65.
As the favorite, North Carolina has gone 17-13 vs. the spread this season. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels are 4-6 ATS. At home, their ATS record is 11-9 this year and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 home games. Overall, North Carolina has a 19-14 ATS mark this season.
North Carolina’s over/under record this season is 16-17 and the average scoring in their games is 151.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 147 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (152.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring in those games is 152 points.
North Carolina State Offense Breakdown
The North Carolina State offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against Duke. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.9% and connected on 7 threes. Leading the team in scoring is DJ Horne, who is averaging 16.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, D.J. Burns also maintains a PPG average of 12.2 heading into game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Horne (G) | 16.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| D.J. Burns (F) | 12.2 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| Jayden Taylor (G) | 12.2 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
North Carolina Offense Breakdown
Coming off their recent game, the North Carolina offense tallied 72 points in a matchup against Pittsburgh. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.3%, and they made 6 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Tar Heels offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 22.2 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis (G) | 21.1 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| Armando Bacot (F) | 14.0 | 10.1 | 1.6 |
| Harrison Ingram (F) | 12.2 | 9.2 | 2.2 |
North Carolina State Team Defense
The Wolfpack’s defense is presently ranked 177th nationally, allowing an average of 72.2 points per contest. The North Carolina State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 69 points and allowed Duke to connect on 5 threes.
North Carolina Team Defense
The Tar Heels’ defense is presently ranked 104th nationally, allowing an average of 69.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Carolina’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.5% this season.
Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, North Carolina State has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 76 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Across the Tar Heels last ten home games, the team averaged 71 points per game while allowing 65. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 8-2 straight-up.
- The Wolfpack have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
- The Tar Heels have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Prediction
For a pick on the point-spread in this Tar Heels vs. Wolfpack matchup, our bet is to grab the Wolfpack at +9.5. Even though our projections have the Tar Heels winning 75-69, we see the Wolfpack as the play on the point-spread.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 147, and our model projects the Wolfpack and Tar Heels to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 16, 2024 North Carolina State Wolfpack, North Carolina Tar Heels