NC State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinals Prediction

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinals Prediction 1/13/2024

The NC State Wolfpack (11-4) travel to face off against the Louisville Cardinals (6-9) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville and televised on CW. Louisville is coming off a win in their previous game, while North Carolina State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the North Carolina. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

North Carolina State Wolfpack vs Louisville Cardinals

The North Carolina State Wolfpack Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

North Carolina State enters this game as a seven-point favorite, and they have been excellent in this role, going 10-0. On the road this year, the Wolfpack have gone 3-3, and they have been outscored by an average of four points per game.

So far this season, North Carolina State has gone 11-4, including a 3-1 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They are coming off a 67-54 loss to North Carolina, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 3-7.

North Carolina State has an ATS record of 7-8 this season, going 2-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wolfpack are 5-5 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for North Carolina State games sits at 8-6-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 146.1 and their games have averaged 144.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is very close to their average OU line. Currently, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 120 points.

The Louisville Cardinals Are Coming Off A Win

After defeating Miami (FL) by a score of 80-71, Louisville has an overall record of 6-9 and a conference record of 1-3. So far, they are 5-6 at home compared to 1-3 on the road. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 4-6.

As an underdog this season, the Cardinals have gone 1-7, and they are currently on a two-game losing streak at home. So far, they have been the underdog in eight of their 15 games, going 5-2 in those contests.

As the underdog, Louisville has gone 3-4-1 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS record is 5-8-2. At home, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of 3-6-2 and are 1-3-1 vs. the spread in their last five home games. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Louisville has gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is in line with the average over/under line in Louisville’s games this season (146). So far, their over/under record is 8-7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

North Carolina State Offense Breakdown

The North Carolina State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 54 points vs. North Carolina. Overall their field goal percentage was 26.9% while connecting on 2 threes. Offensively, the Wolfpack have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 245th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 269th in percentage and 195th in three-pointers made.

DJ Horne (G) 13.9 3.7 2.8
Jayden Taylor (G) 12.6 3.8 1.3
D.J. Burns (F) 12.5 4.5 2.6

Louisville Offense Breakdown

Louisville is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 80 points vs. Miami (FL). This figure is more than their season average of 73.2 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Skyy Clark, who is averaging 14.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Mike James also maintains a PPG average of 13.9 heading into game.

Skyy Clark (G) 14.5 3.4 2.8
Mike James (G) 13.9 5.7 1.5
Tre White (G) 12.7 6.1 1.8

North Carolina State Team Defense

The Wolfpack’s defense is presently ranked 95th nationally, allowing an average of 68.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Carolina State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.1% this season.

Louisville Team Defense

The Cardinals’ defense is presently ranked 255th nationally, allowing an average of 75.7 points per contest. Louisville’s three-point defense is currently 134th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.2% of their shots vs. Louisville.

Wolfpack vs Cardinals Trends

  • Through their last five road games, North Carolina State has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 69 points per game.
  • Although Louisville has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 67 points per game in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Louisville posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, North Carolina State has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.

Wolfpack vs Cardinals Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7, the Cardinals is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 146.5, and our model projects the Wolfpack and Cardinals to reach a combined total of 142 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.