The North Carolina Tar Heels (17-11) travel to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (16-11) on Monday, February 24th. This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee and televised on ESPN. North Carolina is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Louisville. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles
The Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win
North Carolina Tar Heels Recent Game/Games
North Carolina improved to 17-11 on the season with an 81-66 win over Virginia on Saturday. The Tar Heels, playing at home, were -9.5 favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 147, surpassing the O/U line of 140.5.
UNC took control early, leading 46-34 at halftime. They scored 35 points in the 2nd half while holding Virginia to 32 points.
The Seminoles Are Coming Off A Win
Florida State Seminoles Recent Game/Games
Florida State fell to 16-11 on the season after an 89-81 loss to Louisville on Saturday. The Seminoles went into the game as +13.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread.
FSU trailed 45-31 at halftime but put up 50 points in the second half while allowing 44. The total points for the game were 170, surpassing the over/under line of 154.5.
Tar Heels Offense Breakdown
North Carolina put up 81 points in their latest game, shooting 48.2% from the field and knocking down 56.2% of their threes (9/16). Their effective field goal percentage was 57.1%, and they hit 81.8% of their free throws (18/22).
Jae’Lyn Withers was 4/6 from deep, finishing with 16 points and 11 rebounds, while Ian Jackson went 3/3 from beyond the arc, also scoring 16 points in just 18 minutes. Isaac McKneely contributed 17 points and 4 assists, despite shooting 2/7 from three.
Seminoles Offense Breakdown
Florida State put up 81 points in their last game, shooting 54.2% from the field. They were dominant inside, hitting 66.7% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 4 of 17 threes for a 23.5% rate.
Malique Ewin was nearly perfect from the field, going 9 of 10, while J’Vonne Hadley hit both of his threes and finished 7 of 11 overall. The Seminoles recorded 11 assists and 8 offensive rebounds, with a free-throw percentage of 76.5%.
Tar Heels Team Defense
North Carolina’s defense gave up 66 points in their last game, allowing the opposing team to shoot 48% from the field, with 27 made baskets on 56 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 18 two-point field goals on 40 attempts, a 45% shooting rate.
From three-point range, the Tar Heels allowed 9 made threes on 16 attempts, with the opposing team shooting 56%. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 22 times, where they converted 18 for 81%. North Carolina gave up 11 offensive rebounds.
Seminoles Team Defense
North Carolina’s defense gave up 66 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 48% from the field on 27 of 56 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 45% shooting, as the other team went 18 for 40 on two-point shots.
From three-point range, North Carolina’s defense struggled, giving up 9 threes on 16 attempts, a 56% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 22 times, where they converted 18 free throws, shooting 81%. North Carolina allowed 11 offensive rebounds.
Tar Heels vs Seminoles Trends
- Across their five previous road games, North Carolina has an ATS mark of 0-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 70 points per game.
- In their last ten games at home, the Seminoles have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
- Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Seminoles have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-6.
Tar Heels vs Seminoles Prediction
Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Seminoles as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 156.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 24, 2025 Florida State Seminoles, North Carolina Tar Heels