North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes NCAAB Betting Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami (FL) Prediction 2/10/2024

The North Carolina Tar Heels (18-5) travel to face off against the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (15-8) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at Watsco Center in Coral Gables and televised on ESPN. Both North Carolina and Miami (FL) will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:00 ET.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes

The North Carolina Tar Heels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

North Carolina is a 5-point favorite against Miami (FL) on the road. The Tar Heels are 18-5 overall and 10-2 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They are 6-3 on the road this season, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five road games.

Coming off an 80-76 loss to Clemson, North Carolina has gone 6-4 in its last 10 road games. For the season, the Tar Heels have a scoring margin of +5.4 points per game on the road compared to +16.9 points per game at home. They have been the favorite in 21 of their 23 games, going 17-4 in those contests.

North Carolina has an overall ATS record of 14-9 this season, including a mark of 6-3 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tar Heels have gone 7-3 ATS.

North Carolina’s over/under record this season is 12-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 153.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 154.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games this year (153.7). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 159 points.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, Miami has a record of 13-2, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak at home. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of +15.7 points per game at home.

On the road, the Hurricanes have struggled, going just 2-6 this season. They have lost two straight games on the road, and their average scoring margin away from home is -8.5 points per game.

As the underdog, Miami (FL) has gone 3-3-1 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Hurricanes have an ATS mark of 9-5-1 this year and are 5-4-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Miami games is 11-12 and today’s line of 154.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (153). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 3-7.

North Carolina Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 82.8 points per game, North Carolina struggled in their previous game. Against Clemson, the Tar Heels scored 76 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 36.9%. One area that the North Carolina offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 13th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 45%.

RJ Davis (G) 21.3 3.7 3.5
Armando Bacot (F) 14.3 10.0 1.6
Harrison Ingram (F) 12.5 8.9 2.3

Miami (FL) Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Miami (FL) offense concluded with only 38 points against Virginia. Throughout the game, they made 2/20 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 28.6%. Norchad Omier is leading the team in scoring at 17.6 points per contest. Matthew Cleveland has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.2 going into the game.

Norchad Omier (F) 17.6 9.8 1.2
Matthew Cleveland (G) 14.2 6.2 1.8
Nijel Pack (G) 13.4 2.5 3.5

North Carolina Team Defense

So far, the Tar Heels’ defense is ranked 130th in the country at 70.3 points per contest. North Carolina’s three-point defense is currently 123rd in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.3% of their shots vs. North Carolina.

Miami (FL) Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Miami (FL) defense is giving up an average of 71.7 points per contest. Miami (FL)’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Virginia offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 60 points.

Tar Heels vs Hurricanes Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, North Carolina has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Hurricanes offense has averaged 68 points per game while allowing an average of 76. Miami (FL) posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-5-1 ATS.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Hurricanes have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • As the betting favorite, the Tar Heels have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.

Tar Heels vs Hurricanes Prediction

The Hurricanes come in as the underdog at +5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 154.5 and our model has the Tar Heels and Hurricanes finishing with a combined 142 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.