North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAB Betting Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Prediction 3/4/2025

The North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11) travel to face off against the Virginia Tech Hokies (13-16) on Tuesday, March 4th. This game will be played at Cassell Coliseum in Blacksburg and televised on ESPNU. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Tech Hokies

The Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win

North Carolina Tar Heels Recent Game/Games

North Carolina improved to 19-11 on the season with a 92-73 win over Miami on Saturday, March 1st. Playing at home, the Tar Heels were -17 favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 165, exceeding the over/under line of 158.5.

UNC took control early, leading 46-31 at halftime. They matched their first-half output with another 46 points in the second half, while allowing 42 points to Miami after the break.

The Hokies Are Coming Off A Win

Virginia Tech Hokies Recent Game/Games

Virginia Tech improved to 13-16 on the season with a 101-95 win over Syracuse on Saturday. The Hokies, who were favored by four points, covered the spread in the victory.

After trailing 47-38 at halftime, Virginia Tech clamped down defensively, allowing just 35 points in the 2nd half while scoring 44 of their own. The game’s total points of 196 easily surpassed the O/U line of 144.5.

Tar Heels Offense Breakdown

North Carolina’s offense was firing on all cylinders, putting up 92 points with a 58.9% field goal percentage and an effective field goal percentage of 67.9%. They shot 60.5% from two-point range and 55.6% from beyond the arc, hitting 10 threes in the game.

Matthew Cleveland led the way with 25 points and 5 assists, while Ven-Allen Lubin was nearly perfect from the field, shooting 9/10 for 19 points. Jae’Lyn Withers also had a strong performance, going 2/2 from three and grabbing 10 rebounds.

Hokies Offense Breakdown

Virginia Tech’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 101 points on 60.7% shooting from the field. They were even more impressive from two-point range, hitting 69% of their attempts, and their effective field goal percentage was 67.2%. From beyond the arc, the Hokies connected on 42.1% of their shots, going 8-for-19, and they were solid at the free-throw line, making 82.6% of their attempts (19-for-23).

Ben Hammond and Jaden Schutt were nearly perfect from the field, both shooting 85.7%, with Schutt hitting 3-of-4 from three-point range. Hammond also added 7 rebounds and 7 assists. Jaydon Young led the team in scoring with 26 points, while Jyáre Davis and Hammond each added 21. Eddie Lampkin Jr. contributed 14 points and a team-high 12 rebounds.

Tar Heels Team Defense

North Carolina’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 73 points on 58% shooting from the field. They allowed their opponent to hit 60% of their two-point attempts, going 23/38.

From beyond the arc, North Carolina’s defense gave up 10 threes on 18 attempts, a 55% shooting performance. Their opponent also went 16/24 from the free-throw line. The Tar Heels allowed 10 offensive rebounds.

Hokies Team Defense

North Carolina’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 73 points on 58% shooting from the field. They allowed the opposing team to hit 60% of their two-point attempts, going 23/38.

From beyond the arc, the Tar Heels gave up 10 threes on 18 attempts, a 55% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the line 24 times, where they made 16 free throws, shooting 66%.

Tar Heels vs Hokies Trends

  • Across the Tar Heels last ten road games, the team averaged 73 points per game while allowing 77. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-7-1, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • The Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Hokies have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, North Carolina has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 9-1 straight up.

Tar Heels vs Hokies Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7.5, the Hokies is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 149.5 and our model has the Tar Heels and Hokies finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.