North Texas Mean Green vs. Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction

North Texas Mean Green vs. Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction 1/28/2024

The North Texas Mean Green (12-6) travel to face off against the Florida Atlantic Owls (16-4) on Sunday, January 28th. This game will be played at FAU Arena in Boca Raton and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

North Texas Mean Green vs Florida Atlantic Owls

The North Texas Mean Green Are Coming Off A Win

North Texas has been a solid team on the road this season, going 3-3 with an average scoring margin of +3.0. Over their last 10 road games, the Mean Green have gone 6-4.

Overall, North Texas is 12-6 this season, including a 5-1 mark in American Athletic Conference play. They are coming off a 68-66 win over SMU and have gone 2-1 in their last three road games.

North Texas has been solid against the spread this season, going 10-6 overall. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-3 and their last 3 road ATS record is 1-2. As the underdog, the Mean Green are 3-3 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 underdog ATS record is also 1-2. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, North Texas has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for North Texas is 7-8-1. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 125.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (127.7). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 117 points.

The Florida Atlantic Owls Are Coming Off A Win

Florida Atlantic has been excellent at home this season, going 9-1 with an average scoring margin of +15.4 points per game. The Owls have won eight straight games at home and are 5-0 in their last five.

On the year, Florida Atlantic is 16-4, including a 5-1 mark in American Athletic Conference play. The Owls have won four straight games and are 13-4 when favored this season.

Florida Atlantic’s ATS record this season is 10-9. The Owls’ ATS mark at home is 6-4 and their record vs. the spread when favored is 8-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Florida Atlantic is just 3-7.

This season, the over/under record for Florida Atlantic games is 10-9 and today’s line of 133.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (149.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 167 points and their OU record during this stretch is 2-1.

North Texas Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the North Texas offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against SMU. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.6%, and they made 10 threes. Jason Edwards is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Aaron Scott brings a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.

Jason Edwards (G) 17.0 1.9 1.3
Aaron Scott (F) 11.9 5.8 1.3
Rubin Jones (G) 11.7 3.0 3.6

Florida Atlantic Offense Breakdown

The Florida Atlantic offense is coming off a game where they scored 69 points against Rice. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.6% and connected on 6 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Johnell Davis, who holds an average of 18.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Vladislav Goldin is averaging 14.1 points per game this season.

Johnell Davis (G) 18.1 6.8 2.8
Vladislav Goldin (C) 14.1 7.0 0.6
Alijah Martin (G) 13.5 5.4 1.5

North Texas Team Defense

At this time, the Mean Green’s defense is positioned 5th in the country, permitting 58.7 points per game. The North Texas defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 66 points and allowed SMU to connect on 10 threes.

Florida Atlantic Team Defense

Currently, the Owls’ defense holds the 164th rank in the nation, allowing 72.2 points per game. Florida Atlantic will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Rice to just 34% shooting in their most recent game.

Mean Green vs Owls Trends

  • Across the Mean Green last three road games, the team averaged 59 points per game while allowing 59. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Florida Atlantic has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 80 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, North Texas has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Owls have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 3-7.

Mean Green vs Owls Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Owls vs. Owls matchup, we’re leaning towards the Owls at -10.5. Although our projections show the Owls winning 75-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Mean Green for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 133.5 and our model has the Mean Green and Owls finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.