Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia Cavaliers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia Prediction 1/25/2025

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-10) travel to face off against the Virginia Cavaliers (9-10) on Saturday, January 25th. This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville and televised on ESPN2. Virginia is coming off a win in their previous game, while Notre Dame is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Syracuse. Tip-off is set for 6:30 ET.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia Cavaliers

The Fighting Irish Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Recent Game/Games

The Fighting Irish fell to 8-10 on the season after a 77-69 road loss to Syracuse on Saturday, January 18th. Notre Dame entered the game as -4.5 favorites but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 146, just under the O/U line of 147.5.

Notre Dame led 42-33 at halftime but struggled in the 2nd half, scoring only 27 points while allowing 44.

The Cavaliers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Virginia Cavaliers Recent Game/Games

Virginia improved to 9-10 on the season with a 74-56 win over Boston College on Tuesday. The Cavaliers, who were favored by 8.5 points, covered the spread in this home matchup.

Virginia took control early, leading 41-23 at halftime. Both teams scored 33 points in the second half. The total points for the game were 130, surpassing the over/under line of 124.5.

Fighting Irish Offense Breakdown

Notre Dame’s offense put up 69 points in their last game, shooting 42.1% from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.6%, and they hit 88.9% of their free throws, going 16-for-18 from the line.

Markus Burton led the way with 28 points, shooting 46.2% overall and 40% from three. J.J. Starling added 21 points, though he shot just 35% from the field. The Irish managed only 3 assists as a team, with Burton contributing 2 of them.

Cavaliers Offense Breakdown

Virginia’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 74 points with a 52% field goal percentage. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 64%, thanks in large part to their 55% shooting from beyond the arc, hitting 11 of 20 threes.

Isaac McKneely led the way, knocking down 6 of 9 from deep and finishing with 21 points. Andrew Rohde also had a standout performance, shooting 83.3% overall and hitting both of his three-point attempts, while dishing out 6 assists.

Fighting Irish Team Defense

Notre Dame’s defense gave up 77 points, with their opponent shooting 41% from the field. They allowed 24 made field goals on 58 attempts.

Inside the arc, Notre Dame’s defense saw their opponent hit 47% of their shots, going 16/34. From three-point range, they allowed 8/24 shooting, or 33%.

Cavaliers Team Defense

Notre Dame’s defense gave up 77 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 41% from the field. They allowed 24 made field goals on 58 attempts.

From beyond the arc, the opposition shot 33%, hitting 8 of 24 three-point attempts. Notre Dame also sent them to the line 34 times, where they made 21 free throws, shooting 61%.

Fighting Irish vs Cavaliers Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Notre Dame has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 65 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Virginia has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 62 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Fighting Irish have an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-2-1 against the spread.

Fighting Irish vs Cavaliers Prediction

The Cavaliers come in as the underdog at +1.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 126.5, and our model predicts the Fighting Irish and Cavaliers to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.