Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia NCAAB Betting Prediction

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia Prediction 3/9/2024

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-18) travel to face off against the Virginia Tech Hokies (17-13) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at Cassell Coliseum in Blacksburg and televised on ESPNU. Virginia Tech is coming off a win in their previous game, while Notre Dame is looking to get back on track from a loss to the North Carolina. Tip-off is set for 2:30 ET.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Virginia Tech Hokies

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Notre Dame heads into this game as a 9.5-point underdog. So far this season, they have been the underdog in 21 of their 30 games, going 6-15 in those matchups. On the road, the Fighting Irish have gone just 2-9, and they have lost their last two games away from home.

The team’s record this year is 12-18, and they have gone 6-12 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. In their most recent game, they lost to North Carolina by a score of 84-51. Over their last 10 games on the road, Notre Dame has gone just 2-8.

Notre Dame’s ATS record this season is 15-14, including a mark of 7-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Fighting Irish have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road this year, they are 6-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in Notre Dame’s games this season (133.2). On the year, their over/under record is 9-20. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. For the season, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line.

The Virginia Tech Hokies Are Coming Off A Win

Virginia Tech enters this game as a 9.5-point favorite, and they have been much better at home this season compared to on the road. They are 15-3 at home compared to just 2-10 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.2 compared to -7.5 on the road.

Overall, the Hokies are 17-13, and they have won two games in a row. They are 9-10 in Atlantic Coast Conference play, and their non-conference record is 8-3.

Virginia Tech has an overall ATS record of 13-15-2 this season, including an 11-5-2 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hokies are 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Virginia Tech games is 15-14-1 with an average over/under line of 144.1 and an average score of 145.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 133.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 153 points.

Notre Dame Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 63.1 points per game, Notre Dame struggled in their previous game. Against North Carolina, the Fighting Irish scored 51 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 30.5%. Tae Davis led the scoring for the Fighting Irish, contributing 11 points. Additionally, Markus Burton chipped in with 9 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Markus Burton (G) 17.0 3.3 4.3
Braeden Shrewsberry (G) 9.9 2.5 0.8
Tae Davis (F) 8.7 5.2 0.9

Virginia Tech Offense Breakdown

Coming off a good offensive performance, Virginia Tech’s offense scored 80 points against Louisville. Their field goal percentage for the game was 48.2%, and they went 13/19 from the free-throw line. On the offensive front, the Hokies have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 98th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 136th in terms of percentage and 94th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Sean Pedulla (G) 15.7 4.3 4.6
Hunter Cattoor (G) 13.9 2.7 1.9
Lynn Kidd (C) 13.1 6.6 1.2

Notre Dame Team Defense

At this time, the Fighting Irish’s defense is positioned 33rd in the country, permitting 66.1 points per game. In their most recent game, the Notre Dame defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as North Carolina knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 84 points.

Virginia Tech Team Defense

Virginia Tech’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 70.4 points per game. In their previous game vs. Louisville, the Cardinals finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 64 points vs. Virginia Tech.

Fighting Irish vs Hokies Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Fighting Irish offense has averaged 61 points per game while allowing an average of 69. Notre Dame posted an overall record of 2-8 while going 6-3 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Hokies have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 2-8 vs. the spread. The team averaged 71 points per game in this stretch.
  • The last ten games that Notre Dame was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • The Hokies have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Fighting Irish vs Hokies Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Hokies vs. Hokies game, our recommendation is to take the Hokies at -9.5. Despite our model showing the Hokies winning 74-69, we like Fighting Irish as our point-spread pick.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 133.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.