The Ole Miss Rebels (10-2) face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2) on Saturday, December 30th. This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 12:00 ET.
Ole Miss Rebels vs Penn State Nittany Lions
The Ole Miss Rebels Are Coming Off A Win
Ole Miss is coming off a low-scoring 17-7 win over Mississippi State. If they hope to pick up another win over Penn State, they will need a better performance from their offense. In the win to Mississippi State, quarterback Jaxson Dart concluded with a QB rating of 75.16 while connecting on 14 of 26 passes for 96 yards. Moreover, he contributed one touchdown to the game.
Each team came away with an ATS push in this game, as Ole Miss was favored by 10. The under hit in this matchup, with a pre-game over/under line of 53.5 points.
The Ole Miss Rebels take on the Penn State with a 10-2 record, including 3-2 on the road and 6-0 at home.
Ole Miss has gone into eight games as the favorite this season and three games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 5-4-2. Through 12 games, the average over/under line in Ole Miss’ games is 59.4 points. Their games have averaged a combined 57.2 points leading to an OU record of 4-7.
The Penn State Nittany Lions Are Coming Off A Win
In their most recent game, Penn State matched up with Michigan State and came out on top with a 42-0 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Penn State held a 25-point lead. In the win vs. Michigan State, quarterback Drew Allar concluded with a QB rating of 129.01, connecting on 17 of 26 passes for 292 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.
With an over/under line of 42.5 going into the game, the teams fell short of that number with 42 points. Penn State covered the spread as 22.5-point favorites.
The Penn State Nittany Lions take on the Ole Miss with a 10-2 record, including 4-1 on the road and 5-1 at home.
Against the spread, Penn State has gone 8-3 this season. The Nittany Lions have been favored nine times compared to two games as the underdog. Over the course of 12 games, the average over/under line in Penn State’s matchups has been 46 points. These games have had an average combined score of 48.6 points, leading to an OU record of 5-6.
Ole Miss Offense Breakdown
Ole Miss comes into the game with an offense averaging 34.8, which places them at 23rd in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 31st nationally, with an average of 276.6 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 44th in the nation, with 483 rushing attempts per game for the season.
This season, Jaxson Dart has thrown for a total of 2985 yards while maintaining an average of 14.4 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 65.2%, and he’s recorded 20 touchdowns.
Penn State Offense Breakdown
On offense, the Nittany Lions come in with the 53rd ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 204.3 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 21st in terms of attempts.
Quarterback Drew Allar leads the team with 2336 passing yards while completing 61.3% of his passes. So far, he is averaging 6.7 yards per passing attempt.
Ole Miss Team Defense
Coming into their matchup vs. Penn State, the Ole Miss defense is 81st in points allowed, giving up 22.3 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 220 passing yards per game against them (86th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 151.9 rushing yards, which ranks them 86th in college football.
Penn State Team Defense
Penn State’s defense enters the game ranked 194th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 24.9 times against the Nittany Lions. They have given up 11.4 PPG, which ranks 50th in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 6th in the NCAA.
Ole Miss vs Penn State Trends
- On the road, Ole Miss has gone 1-1-1 vs. the spread.
- Penn State is 8-2 in their last ten home games.
- Penn State’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 1-2.
- Ole Miss are 0-1-2 in their last three games as favorites.
Penn State’s offense has been struggling on third down this season. I’m not betting on a sudden improvement, and my choice is for Ole Miss +4.5.
So far this season, Ole Miss’ games have combined for 57.2 points. With the over/under line sitting at 48.5, I’m taking the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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