Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction 1/13/2024

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction 1/13/2024

The Penn State Nittany Lions (8-8) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (14-2) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on BTN. Both Penn State and Purdue will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:15 ET.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Penn State Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Despite having a losing record overall, Penn State has been much better at home than on the road. They are 8-3 at home compared to 0-5 on the road, and their average scoring margin at home is +12.3 compared to -14.2 on the road. For the season, they have been underdogs in seven of their 16 games, going 2-5 in those matchups.

Recently, the Nittany Lions have struggled on the road, going 0-5 in their last five games and 3-7 in their last 10. In their most recent game, they lost to Northwestern, 76-72.

As the underdog this season, Penn State has an ATS record of 3-4 and an overall ATS record of 6-10. On the road, the Nittany Lions have gone 1-4 vs. the spread and are 5-6 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Penn State has an ATS mark of 5-4-1.

This season, the over/under record for Penn State games is 9-6-1. The average point total in their games this year is 148.4, which is 4.6 points higher than the average over/under line of 143.8. Currently, the over/under line for their matchup with Purdue is set at 155.5. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.

The Purdue Boilermakers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss


After suffering a tough loss to Nebraska in their last game, the Purdue Boilermakers will look to bounce back as they host the Penn State Nittany Lions. With a record of 14-2, Purdue has been dominant at home this season, going 11-0 with an average scoring margin of +21.7 points per game.

Home Court Advantage:

So far this season, the Boilermakers have been favored in 15 of their 16 games, going 13-2 in those contests. Over their last ten games at home, Purdue has gone a perfect 10-0, and they have not lost at home this season.

As the favorite, Purdue has gone 8-5-2 against the spread this season. Their home ATS record is 7-3-1 and they are 6-3-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games at home. Over their last three games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are 1-2 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record for Purdue games is 11-5. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 147.7 and today’s line of 155.5 is higher than that average. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points. Over their last five games, the over/under record is 3-2 and the average scoring total is 145 points. For the season, the average scoring total in their games is 153.4 points.

Penn State Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Nittany Lions’ offense concluded with 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.2 points per contest. The Penn State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.8 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 29% of their looks from outside this season.

Kanye Clary (G) 18.8 3.4 2.8
Adrian Baldwin Jr (G) 13.1 1.9 4.4
Qudus Wahab (F) 9.9 8.6 0.6

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Purdue offense put up 72 points against Nebraska. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.1% and made 13 threes. Zach Edey is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 21.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Braden Smith brings a PPG average of 12.8 into the game.

Zach Edey (C) 21.8 10.4 1.7
Braden Smith (G) 12.8 5.4 6.7
Lance Jones (G) 11.1 2.4 2.4

Penn State Team Defense

On defense, Penn State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.2 points per game. In today’s game, the Penn State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 3 three-pointers while giving up 76 points.

Purdue Team Defense

So far, the Boilermakers’ defense is ranked 112nd in the country at 69.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Purdue’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.2% this season.

Nittany Lions vs Boilermakers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Penn State has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 70 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three home games, Purdue has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 75 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Penn State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Boilermakers struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 4-1.

Nittany Lions vs Boilermakers Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Boilermakers vs. Boilermakers game, we suggest taking the Boilermakers at -19.5. Even though our predictions have the Boilermakers winning 75-69, we see the Nittany Lions as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 155.5, and our model projects the Nittany Lions and Boilermakers to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.