We finished last week at a solid 1-1 again with no outright winners. Lowry easily beat Billy Horschell, and Mackenzie Hughes was right in the target zone to take the group but flopped a few shots in the water on Sunday. We take this mild hot streak over to Bay Hill Club & Lodge in sunny Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
A few nuggets before we go over the picks just in case you want to wander on your own. This weekends Arnold Palmer Invitational will be the longest course we see during the Florida swing. Bay Hill stretches just a hair over 7,400 yards and is a par 72. With water on half of the holes, driving distance will be paired with driving accuracy. As some people say, it’s a Bombers’ Paradise.
Match Bet 9: Will Zalatoris over Adam Scott +100
Willy Z is back in action this weekend, which means his flowing blonde locks will be hitting flushed irons up and down the course. Adam Scott snagged a T4 at The Genesis a few weeks ago, which is probably why he is the favorite in this matchup. He also has a solid course history, including two solo thirds. Willy Z has played Arnold Palmer once before, and that was last year when he finished solo 10th. Scott hasn’t played here since 2016. Give me the young gun with the plus money.
Top American: Max Homa +2250
I know what you’re thinking, “+2250! SHEESH!” Let me break this down for you. That is the fourth-lowest odds for betting only Americans after Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris and Sam Burns. And if you take a look at outright winner odds, eight of the top 10 are non-Americans. Homa is also 32nd on tour with Driving Distance – All Drives, and is hitting 59 percent of his fairways. Maybe a half unit bet since it’s such high odds, but there is a strong chance Homa wins the tournament outright.
Winner: Matthew Fitzpatrick BOOSTED +2600 (+275 Top Ten)
We have Fitz as an Actions Action boost this week, and you know what? I love it. He isn’t someone who is going to blast it off the tee. He averages a little over 296 a drive, which ranks 67th on Tour so far this year. But his course history is outstanding. He has played Bay Hill seven times, made the cut five times, finished top 30 all five time, and finished top 10 in three of those events. That includes a solo second in 2018. Run with Fitzmagic and see if he can bring it home Sunday!
Others that didn’t make the cut:
Kurt Kitayama +2900 to win the Puerto Rico Open Top Canadian: Corey Conners +160 Top South Korean: Im Sung-jae -115
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.