Purdue Boilermakers vs Connecticut NCAAB Betting Prediction

Purdue Boilermakers vs Connecticut Prediction 4/8/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (34-4) travel to face off against the Connecticut Huskies (36-3) on Monday, April 8th. This game will be played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale and televised on TBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:20 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Connecticut Huskies

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

After defeating North Carolina State by a score of 63-50, the Purdue Boilermakers are now 34-4 on the season. They have won five straight games and have gone 18-4 in Big Ten play. Purdue is 9-3 on the road this season and has won two straight on the road.

Overall, the Boilermakers have been the underdog in just two games this season and are 2-0 in those games. They have gone 32-4 when favored this season. So far, Purdue has gone 16-0 in non-conference games and 25-1 at home.

As the underdog this season, Purdue has a perfect 2-0 record vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Boilermakers have gone 7-3 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Purdue’s games this season (147.9). So far, 14 of their games have finished with fewer than 145.5 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 132 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

The Connecticut Huskies Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, Connecticut has been dominant, going a perfect 26-0. Over their last ten games at home, they have been even better, going 10-0. On the year, their average scoring margin at home is +23.5.

Overall, the Huskies have won their last twelve games, and they are 36-3 this season. They have been favored in 38 of their 39 games and have gone 36-2 in those games.

As the favorite this season, UConn has an ATS record of 26-11-1. They have been even better vs. the spread at home, going 18-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Huskies have an ATS mark of 9-1.

This season, the over/under record for Connecticut games is 17-22 and the average scoring total in their games is 145.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games (145.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3. On the year, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

The Purdue offense is coming off a game in which they scored 63 points vs. North Carolina State. Overall their field goal percentage was 40% while connecting on 10 threes. In terms of offense, the Boilermakers have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 36th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 24th in percentage and 89th in three-pointers made.

Zach Edey (C) 24.4 11.7 2.1
Braden Smith (G) 12.5 5.8 7.3
Lance Jones (G) 12.2 2.8 2.0

Connecticut Offense Breakdown

Connecticut’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 86 points vs. Alabama. Overall, they hit 50% of their shots from the field and went 14/18 from the free-throw line. Tristen Newton is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.2. Meanwhile, Cam Spencer also brings a PPG average of 14.5 into the game.

Tristen Newton (G) 15.2 7.0 6.0
Cam Spencer (G) 14.5 4.5 3.6
Alex Karaban (F) 13.9 5.0 1.4

Purdue Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 68.8 points per contest. Purdue’s three-point defense is currently 171st in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.6% of their shots vs. Purdue.

Connecticut Team Defense

This season, the Connecticut defense has been impressive, holding the 12th position in the country while permitting an average of 63.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Connecticut’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.7% this season.

Boilermakers vs Huskies Trends

  • Across the Boilermakers last three road games, the team averaged 76 points per game while allowing 73. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last five home games, Connecticut has averaged 80 points per game while allowing 68. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • The last ten games that Purdue was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 7-3 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Huskies have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Boilermakers vs Huskies Prediction

Not only do we have the Huskies winning this one by a score of 77-67, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Huskies at -6.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 145.5, and our model projects the Boilermakers and Huskies to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.