Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction 1/20/2024

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction 1/20/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (16-2) travel to face off against the Iowa Hawkeyes (11-6) on Saturday, January 20th. This game will be played at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their most recent game against Indiana by a score of 87-66, the Purdue Boilermakers have a record of 16-2 this season. They have won two straight games and are 5-2 in Big Ten play compared to their 11-0 non-conference record.

So far, Purdue has been favored in 17 of their 18 games, going 15-2 in those contests. On the road, they have a record of 4-2, and their average scoring margin away from home is +4.7 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Purdue has gone 9-6-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have an ATS mark of 5-5. On the road, Purdue is 3-2-1 ATS this year and 3-6-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Purdue games is 13-5. The average scoring total in their games is 154.4 points, which is 6.3 points higher than the average over/under line of 148.1. This season, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line of 167. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 161 points.

The Iowa Hawkeyes Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into this game, Iowa has a record of 11-6, and they have won three straight games. They have gone 3-3 in Big Ten play and 8-3 in non-conference action. At home, the Hawkeyes are 10-2, and they have won five straight games.

On the season, Iowa has been the underdog in six of their 17 games, and they have gone 1-5 in those games. They have been favored in 11 games, going 10-1. Their average scoring margin at home is +18.1 compared to -10.8 on the road.

As the underdog this season, Iowa has gone just 2-4 against the spread. However, their ATS mark at home is 6-6 and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hawkeyes are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

The over/under record for Iowa games this season is 13-4 and today’s line of 167 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (160.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 8-2.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense had a good outing, putting up 87 points against Indiana. They achieved a 46.8% field goal percentage and went 22/27 from the free-throw line. Zach Edey led the team in scoring, putting up 33 points. Additionally, Fletcher Loyer contributed 19 points for the Boilermakers.

Zach Edey (C) 22.9 11.1 1.7
Braden Smith (G) 12.0 5.3 7.1
Lance Jones (G) 11.6 2.4 2.4

Iowa Offense Breakdown

The Hawkeyes’ offense finished with 86 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 87.1 points per contest. Ben Krikke is leading the team in scoring at 16.9 points per contest. Payton Sandfort has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.2 going into the game.

Ben Krikke (F) 16.9 5.4 1.8
Payton Sandfort (F) 14.2 6.9 2.9
Tony Perkins (G) 13.9 4.1 4.2

Purdue Team Defense

At this time, the Boilermakers’ defense is positioned 105th in the country, permitting 69.3 points per game. Purdue’s three-point defense is currently 162nd in the country at 7.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.7% of their shots vs. Purdue.

Iowa Team Defense

Facing Purdue, Iowa aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.5 points allowed per game (270th). On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.5 threes per game vs. Purdue. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.9%.

Boilermakers vs Hawkeyes Trends

  • The Boilermakers are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Hawkeyes have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 3-6-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 71 points per game in these contests.
  • The last three games that Iowa was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Purdue has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Boilermakers vs Hawkeyes Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +6.5, we have the Hawkeyes as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 167 and our model has the Boilermakers and Hawkeyes finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.