Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers NCAA Betting Prediction

Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Prediction 2/4/2024

The Purdue Boilermakers (20-2) travel to face off against the Wisconsin Badgers (16-5) on Sunday, February 4th. This game will be played at Kohl Center in Madison and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Rutgers by a score of 68-60, Purdue comes into this game with a record of 20-2, including a 8-2 record in Big Ten play. They are currently on a five-game win streak and have gone 12-0 in non-conference games.

On the road this season, the Boilermakers have gone 6-2 and have an average scoring margin of +6.2. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 7-3.

When looking at Purdue’s overall ATS record this season, they are 12-7-2. On the road, they have gone 4-3-1 vs. the spread. As the favorite, the Boilermakers are 11-7-2 vs. the spread this year.

So far this season, the over/under record for Purdue is 14-7 and today’s line of 147 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points and during their last 10 games, the average is 154 points. Over their last five games, their OU record is 3-2.

The Wisconsin Badgers Are Coming Off A Win

Wisconsin enters this game with a 16-5 record, including a 8-1 mark in Big Ten play. Their three-game win streak has pushed their home record to 13-1 for the season.

On the year, the Badgers have been the underdog in six of their 21 games, going 4-2 in those contests. They are 12-2 as the favorite.

Wisconsin’s ATS record for the season is 11-9, but they have been better at home, going 9-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Badgers have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Wisconsin games is 11-8-1, and today’s line of 147 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (137.5). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 85.8 points per game, the Purdue had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Rutgers and had a field goal percentage of 48.9%. On the offensive front, the Boilermakers have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, ranking 33rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 26th in terms of percentage and 60th in three-pointers made.

Zach Edey (C) 23.4 11.6 1.7
Lance Jones (G) 12.7 2.8 2.5
Braden Smith (G) 12.1 5.4 7.5

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

Wisconsin finished with 81 points in their game against Michigan State. This total surpasses their season-average of 75.8 points per game. The team’s top scorer is AJ Storr, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 16.5, while Steven Crowl also carries a PPG average of 11.4 into the game.

AJ Storr (G) 16.5 3.5 1.0
Steven Crowl (F) 11.4 7.8 2.4
Tyler Wahl (F) 11.2 5.6 1.6

Purdue Team Defense

At present, the Boilermakers’ defense is nationally ranked 122nd, allowing 70.0 points per game. The Purdue defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed Rutgers to connect on 4 threes.

Wisconsin Team Defense

In the current season, the Wisconsin defense has excelled, sitting 77th in the nation by allowing 67.5 points per game. Wisconsin’s three-point defense is currently 135th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.1% of their shots vs. Wisconsin.

Boilermakers vs Badgers Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 4-5-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Wisconsin has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 72 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Wisconsin has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 3-0, while going 1-2 against the spread.

Boilermakers vs Badgers Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +2.5, we recommend going with the Badgers on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 147 and our model has the Boilermakers and Badgers finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.