San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Prediction 2/6/2024

The San Diego State Aztecs (17-5) travel to face off against the Air Force Falcons (8-13) on Tuesday, February 6th. This game will be played at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs and televised on FS1. San Diego State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Air Force is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Boise State. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons

The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State is 17-5 overall and 6-3 in Mountain West play. They are 4-5 on the road, and they have lost their last three games away from home. The Aztecs are 13-2 when favored, and they have been favored in 15 of their 22 games.

At home, San Diego State is a perfect 11-0, and they have won their last 11 games. For the season, they are outscoring their opponents by an average of 13.2 points per game at home.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 8-12 this season and they are 2-7 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs are 5-5 vs. the spread.

San Diego State has an over/under record of 12-8 this season. The average scoring total in their games is 144.4 points, and the average over/under line is 141.3, resulting in an average margin of +3.1. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 134.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 147 points.

The Air Force Falcons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Coming into tonight’s game, Air Force is 8-13 overall and just 1-8 in Mountain West Conference play. They have lost three straight games and are 4-8 at home this season. So far, the Falcons have gone 2-8 as the underdog.

In their last game, Air Force fell to Boise State by a score of 94-56. Over their last ten games at home, the Falcons have gone 3-7, and they are currently on a seven-game losing streak at home.

As the underdog, Air Force has gone 4-6 against the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is just 2-10. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Falcons are 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Air Force games sits at 15-6. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (134.2). Over their last three matchups, the average scoring total is 153 points compared to their season average of 139.1 points per game.

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

San Diego State’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 81 points against Utah State. They had an overall field goal percentage of 47.3% and made 20/28 free throws. Jay Pal led the scoring for the Aztecs, contributing 16 points. Additionally, Jaedon LeDee chipped in with 16 points.

Jaedon LeDee (F) 20.3 8.6 1.6
Reese Waters (G) 11.7 3.8 1.2
Micah Parrish (G) 10.1 4.0 1.7

Air Force Offense Breakdown

The Air Force offense is coming off a game in which they scored 56 points vs. Boise State. Overall their field goal percentage was 34.6% while connecting on 10 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ethan Taylor who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.8. Beau Becker also heads into the game with a PPG average of 15.1.

Ethan Taylor (G) 15.8 4.5 2.8
Beau Becker (F) 15.1 4.7 1.7
Rytis Petraitis (F) 15.6 5.6 3.9

San Diego State Team Defense

At present, the Aztecs’ defense is nationally ranked 66th, allowing 67.3 points per game. San Diego State’s three-point defense is currently 82nd in the country at 6.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.1% of their shots vs. San Diego State.

Air Force Team Defense

At present, the Falcons’ defense is nationally ranked 136th, allowing 70.8 points per game. In today’s game vs. San Diego State, the Air Force defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Air Force made 19 free-throws vs. the Falcons.

Aztecs vs Falcons Trends

  • Although San Diego State has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 69 points per game in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Air Force has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 67 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Falcons have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, San Diego State has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.

Aztecs vs Falcons Prediction

The Falcons come in as the underdog at +11, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 134.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.