The San Diego State Aztecs (3-2) travel to face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-4) on Wednesday, December 4th. This game will be played at Save Mart Center in Fresno and televised on FS1. San Diego State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Fresno State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the California Baptist. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.
San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs
The Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win
San Diego State improved to 3-2 on the season after a 73-70 road win over Houston on Saturday. The Aztecs entered the game as +13.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.
San Diego State trailed 30-25 at halftime but turned things around in the second half, outscoring Houston 40-35. The total points for the game reached 143, surpassing the O/U line of 127.
The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win
Fresno State dropped to 3-4 on the season after an 86-81 home loss to California Baptist on Thursday. The Bulldogs were +6.5 point underdogs going into the game but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 167, surpassing the O/U line of 152.5.
Fresno State fell behind 37-27 in the first half but responded by outscoring the Lancers 38-28 in the second half. Despite the strong finish, they couldn’t complete the comeback.
Aztecs Offense Breakdown
In their last game, the Aztecs put up 73 points, shooting 40.4% from the field and 36% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 49.1%, and they hit 66.7% of their free throws, going 18/27 from the line.
Jared Coleman-Jones was efficient, shooting 66.7% overall and 75% from three, hitting 3 of 4 attempts. Emanuel Sharp led the team with 23 points, knocking down 4 of 8 threes, while L.J. Cryer added 21 points, connecting on 5 of 13 from deep.
Bulldogs Offense Breakdown
Fresno State put up 81 points in their recent game, shooting 42.3% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 44.9%, and they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 19% of their threes (4/21). Inside the arc, they were more efficient, shooting 50.9% on two-point attempts (29/57).
The Bulldogs grabbed 14 offensive rebounds and dished out 7 assists. Dominique Daniels Jr. led the way with 29 points, though he shot just 32.3% overall and 23.1% from three. Amar Augillard added 26 points, shooting 40.9% from the field and 27.3% from deep. Javonte Johnson hit 5 of 8 threes, finishing with 20 points on 63.6% shooting overall.
Aztecs Team Defense
San Diego State’s defense held their opponent to 70 points on 37% shooting overall, including just 31% from two-point range (12/38). However, they allowed 11 threes on 24 attempts, a 45% success rate.
At the free-throw line, the opposition went 13/17, hitting 76%. The Aztecs also gave up 17 offensive rebounds in the game.
Bulldogs Team Defense
San Diego State’s defense gave up 70 points in their last game, but they held the opposing team to just 37% shooting from the field, as they went 23/62. The Aztecs were particularly effective inside, limiting their opponents to 31% shooting on two-point attempts (12/38).
From beyond the arc, San Diego State allowed 11 three-pointers on 24 attempts, with their opponents shooting 45% from deep. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 17 times, where they made 13 shots, hitting 76% of their free throws. The Aztecs gave up 17 offensive rebounds.
Aztecs vs Bulldogs Trends
- The Aztecs are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
- Fresno State has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 72 points per game while allowing 81. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Fresno State has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 1-4 straight up.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Aztecs struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 4-1.
Aztecs vs Bulldogs Prediction
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +14, the Bulldogs is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 141, and our model projects the Aztecs and Bulldogs to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:December 4, 2024 Fresno State Bulldogs, San Diego State Aztecs