San Diego State Aztecs vs. Fresno State NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Prediction 2/24/2024

The San Diego State Aztecs (20-7) travel to face off against the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-15) on Saturday, February 24th. This game will be played at Save Mart Center in Fresno and televised on CBSS. Both San Diego State and Fresno State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs Fresno State Bulldogs

The San Diego State Aztecs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

San Diego State is 20-7 overall and 9-5 in the Mountain West. They are 5-7 on the road, and they have lost two straight road games. The Aztecs’ average scoring margin on the road is +.1. They are 16-2 when favored this season.

San Diego State’s last game was a 68-63 loss to Utah State. Over their last 10 road games, the Aztecs are 4-6. So far this season, they have a record of 11-2 in non-conference games.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 11-14 this season, including a mark of 3-9 on the road. Over their last three road games, the Aztecs are just 1-2 vs. the spread. However, they have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three games as the favorite.

San Diego State’s over/under record for the season sits at 14-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.9. Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (141.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and their OU record in those games is 1-2.

The Fresno State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Despite being the underdog, Fresno State has been the favorite in 10 of their 26 games this season, going 8-2 in those contests. They’ll be looking to snap a two-game losing streak and improve upon their 7-8 record at home. So far, they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home.

Fresno State’s average scoring margin at home this season is -0.7 points per game, and they are coming off a 90-66 loss to Boise State. So far, they have gone 2-13 as the underdog this season.

Against the spread, Fresno State’s record this season is 11-14. At home, they have gone 7-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have an ATS mark of 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Fresno State’s games this season (138.1). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 140 points.

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

The San Diego State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 63 points vs. Utah State. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.9% while connecting on 3 threes. Jaedon LeDee is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 20.5. Meanwhile, Reese Waters also brings a PPG average of 11.2 into the game.

Jaedon LeDee (F) 20.5 8.2 1.5
Reese Waters (G) 11.2 3.7 1.3
Micah Parrish (G) 9.6 4.1 2.0

Fresno State Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Fresno State offense ended with 66 points against Boise State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 42.4% and made 11 threes. The team’s top scorer is Isaiah Hill, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12.2, while Xavier Dusell also carries a PPG average of 11.3 into the game.

Isaiah Hill (G) 12.2 3.4 6.6
Xavier Dusell (G) 11.3 2.2 0.6
Enoch Boakye (C) 8.4 8.2 0.3

San Diego State Team Defense

The Aztecs’ defense is presently ranked 55th nationally, allowing an average of 67.0 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Fresno State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 27.9%.

Fresno State Team Defense

So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 193rd in the country at 72.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Fresno State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 36.2% this season.

Aztecs vs Bulldogs Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, San Diego State has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 68 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last three home games, Fresno State has averaged 67 points per game while allowing 71. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bulldogs have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • San Diego State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Aztecs vs Bulldogs Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +11.5, we have the Bulldogs as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 136.5 and our model has the Aztecs and Bulldogs finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.