San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction 1/13/2024

San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos Prediction 1/13/2024

The San Diego State Aztecs (14-2) travel to face off against the New Mexico Lobos (13-3) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque and televised on CBS. San Diego State is coming off a win in their previous game, while New Mexico is looking to get back on track from a loss to the UNLV. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos

The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State comes into this game with a 14-2 record and a six-game win streak. They have been dominant at home, going 8-0 with an average scoring margin of +12.9 points per game. On the road, the Aztecs are 4-2 this season, and they have won two straight.

So far, San Diego State has been the favorite in 11 of their 16 games, going 10-1 in those matchups. As the underdog, they are 2-1.

San Diego State has an ATS record of 6-8 this season and they are 2-4 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Aztecs have gone 2-1 vs. the spread this year.

This season, the over/under record in San Diego State games is 8-6, and today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (140.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points, and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

The New Mexico Lobos Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

As the Lobos get ready to host San Diego State, they will be looking to bounce back from their most recent loss. New Mexico’s record stands at 13-3, and they are 1-2 in Mountain West play. At home, the Lobos are a perfect 8-0 this season, and they have won their last eight games at home.

So far this season, New Mexico has been favored in 13 of their 16 games, and they have gone 12-1 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +20.5, and they come into this game with an average scoring margin of +4.0 on the road.

As the favorite, New Mexico has gone 10-3 vs. the spread this season and 8-2 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Lobos are 7-1 vs. the spread this year and 7-2 in their last 10 home games. Their ATS record this season is 10-5.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this season (153.8). So far, 9 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 145 points.

San Diego State Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Aztecs’ offense finished with 81 points, which is right in line with their current average of 77.3 points per contest. Leading San Diego State in scoring vs. San Jose State was Jaedon LeDee with his 31 points. Lamont Butler also added 16 points for the Aztecs.

Jaedon LeDee (F) 22.0 8.8 1.5
Reese Waters (G) 12.3 3.7 1.5
Micah Parrish (G) 10.6 4.2 2.1

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the New Mexico offense ended with 73 points against UNLV. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 49.1% and made 2 threes. Donovan Dent is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.7. Meanwhile, JT Toppin also brings a PPG average of 12.5 into the game.

Donovan Dent (G) 15.7 2.8 6.1
JT Toppin (F) 12.5 7.6 0.6
Jaelen House (G) 14.7 3.1 4.0

San Diego State Team Defense

San Diego State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 61st nationally, with 66.0 points allowed per game. Against San Jose State in their most recent game, the San Diego State defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing San Jose State to hit 42% of their shots.

New Mexico Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the New Mexico defense is giving up an average of 68.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. UNLV, the Runnin’ Rebels finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 83 points vs. New Mexico.

Aztecs vs Lobos Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, San Diego State has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 70 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Lobos have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-6-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 78 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lobos have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Aztecs vs Lobos Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Lobos to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Lobos at -2.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 149.5, and our model projects the Aztecs and Lobos to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.