The San Diego State Aztecs (22-7) travel to face off against the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (18-10) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 11:00 ET.
San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Runnin’ Rebels
The San Diego State Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win
San Diego State has been a much better team at home this season compared to on the road, as they have gone 14-0 at home and 6-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +12.9 compared to +2.5 on the road.
Overall, the Aztecs have gone 22-7 this season and have won their last two games. In Mountain West play, they have gone 11-5 compared to 11-2 in non-conference games.
San Diego State has an ATS record of 12-15 this season and is 10-10 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Aztecs are just 4-9 ATS and have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three road games. However, they are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in San Diego State’s games this season (141.3). In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 126 points compared to their season average of 141.6 points per game.
The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Are Coming Off A Win
UNLV is 18-10 on the season and has won three straight games. At home, the Runnin’ Rebels are 9-7, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.
So far this season, UNLV has been the underdog in nine games and has a record of 4-5 in those games. They have gone 4-1 in their last five games at home.
As the underdog, UNLV has been a solid bet this season, going 7-2 vs. the spread. They have also been strong in their last 10 games as the underdog, going 7-3. At home, their ATS mark is 10-6 this season.
Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in UNLV’s games this season (142.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points, which is lower than today’s over/under line of 135.5. This year, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 135.5.
San Diego State Offense Breakdown
In their recent game, the Aztecs’ offense concluded with 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.2 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring was Jaedon LeDee with 27 points. Elijah Saunders also added 10 points for the Aztecs.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon LeDee (F) | 20.8 | 8.4 | 1.4 |
| Reese Waters (G) | 11.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| Micah Parrish (G) | 9.6 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
UNLV Offense Breakdown
Against San Jose State, the UNLV had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 74 points per game. They scored 68 points and posted a field goal percentage of 40.7% in the game. The team’s top scorer is Dedan Thomas Jr., who enters today’s matchup with an average of 13, while Kalib Boone also carries a PPG average of 11.9 into the game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. (G) | 13.0 | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| Kalib Boone (F) | 11.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Luis Rodriguez (G) | 11.3 | 6.6 | 1.5 |
San Diego State Team Defense
This season, the San Diego State defense has been impressive, holding the 33rd position in the country while permitting an average of 66.0 points per contest. In today’s game, the San Diego State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 64 points.
UNLV Team Defense
So far, the Runnin’ Rebels’ defense is ranked 67th in the country at 67.7 points per contest. In today’s game vs. San Diego State, the UNLV defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, UNLV made 18 free-throws vs. the Runnin’ Rebels.
Aztecs vs Runnin’ Rebels Trends
- Across their three previous road games, San Diego State has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 67 points per game.
- Across their last three home contests, UNLV has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 71 points per game.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, UNLV has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 4-6 straight up.
- As the betting favorite, the Aztecs have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.
Aztecs vs Runnin’ Rebels Prediction
As the underdogs with a spread of +1, we recommend going with the Runnin’ Rebels on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 135.5 and our model has the Aztecs and Runnin’ Rebels finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 5, 2024 San Diego State Aztecs, UNLV Runnin' Rebels